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Meanwhile in America
CNN

July 18, 2025

 

 

 

Stephen Collinson and Caitlin Hu

Making democracy run on time

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French President Emmanuel Macron, US President Donald Trump and British Prime Minister Keir Starmer. Getty Images/Reuters

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Say what you like about Donald Trump, he gets things done.

 

Most leaders of Western democracies are struggling to muscle torpid political systems behind their programs for change. In Britain, you constantly hear people saying “nothing works” as they bemoan the aging and under resourced National Health Service, railways and successive governments’ failure to stop migrant boats crossing the English Channel. Prime Minister Keir Starmer won a landslide election victory just a year ago, but now he’s unpopular and reeling from crisis to crisis and parts of his Labour Party are in revolt.

 

In France, President Emmanuel Macron’s domestic program is in chaos amid a debt crisis. His latest beleaguered prime minister is trying to cut public holidays and the country's generous welfare state — a task that foiled each of his predecessors. Like Starmer, Macron is not liked and looks likely to limp through his last two years in power.

 

Given the turmoil, it’s a fantasy to believe European member nations of NATO will find the cash or political will to spend 5% of GDP on defense by 2035 — despite their recent promises to Trump.

 

But unlike his struggling counterparts in London and Paris, the US president is on a roll.

 

He just rammed his domestic program “The Big Beautiful Bill Act” through Congress, despite small Republican majorities. He’s soon likely to get another law, which will gut $9 billion in spending passed by previous congresses. He’s using his vast executive power successfully to do exactly what he’d promised to do. He’s punishing his enemies, intimidating law firms, media organizations and eviscerating a bureaucracy that Republicans long complained is full of left-wing obstructionists. 

 

Trump is being helped by a conservative Supreme Court majority he built in his first term. This week, the justices gave the go-ahead for him to carry out mass firings of officials at the Education Department, which Republicans have wanted closed ever since it was one of Ronald Reagan’s favorite targets of liberal ideological excess.

 

There are two troubling implications of all this.

 

The first is that Trump may be making the US political system work, but he’s doing so by stretching it far beyond its democratic boundaries. He’s justifying many of his actions — like his southern border crackdown and erratic tariff policy — by declaring spurious national emergencies that unlock vast and unusual presidential powers.

 

He’s turned Congress — one of the constitutional constraints on presidential overreach — into a pathetic, pliant rubber stamp on his most extreme policies by driving out and demonizing any Republican lawmaker who dares to stand up to him.

 

And he’s worked out that even when courts might rein him in, if he acts speedily, it takes time for the law to catch up with him. For example, he destroyed the US Agency for International Development before judges issued interim rulings to stop him.

 

In June 1787, George Washington joined the Founders in Philadelphia to help draw up the new Constitution. He wrote to the Marquis de Lafayette that his greatest fear was that the nascent United States would fall under the sway of “some aspiring demagogue who will not consult the interest of his country so much as his own ambitious views.”

 

Sound familiar?

 

The second chilling takeaway from Trump’s administrative arson lies in the precedents it sets for Western liberalism. Both Starmer and Macron ran on a promise that they could fix political systems that made progress impossible. But they’ve struggled to shift entrenched interests, layers of bureaucracy and administrative stasis. They and their democratic structures are being damaged because they’ve raised expectations by promising change and can’t deliver it.

 

This is widening an opening for far-right parties modeling their appeal to voters on Trump’s brand of burn-it-all down grievance. In France, the National Rally may have its best chance yet to win the presidency in 2027, despite doubts over whether Marine Le Pen’s legal morass will allow her to run. In Britain, the new populist Reform Party might overtake the Conservative Party on the right ahead of the next election in four years. It was once absurd to think that the Brexit clarion Nigel Farage could be PM. But more and more frustrated voters confide privately they might give him a shot.

 

That’s exactly how Trump rose to power.

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'Highly unlikely'

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That’s what Trump said when asked this week if he’d fire Jerome Powell, the chairman of the Federal Reserve.

 

The president has been fulminating about Powell for months, since he’s refusing to implement Trump's fringe economic belief that slashing interest rates would unleash massive economic growth. Powell fears that this would simply antagonize the monster of inflation that he’s just successfully tamed —remarkably without triggering a recession or massive job losses.

 

Firing Powell could send financial markets into meltdown because it would destroy a fundamental assumption that has helped turn the US into the world’s mightiest economy — that presidents don’t act like dictators and cook the central bank’s books.

 

The prospect of an economic meltdown might deter Trump. Powell’s term is up anyway early next year. But Trump’s recent success has left him increasingly emboldened. So don’t sleep on the possibility he could do something shocking.

What to watch for on Ukraine 

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What does 50 days actually mean?

 

Washington got excited this week about Trump’s supposed turn against Russian President Vladimir Putin. The president warned that unless his erstwhile pal in the Kremlin came to the table within 50 days he’d impose significant sanctions on the Russian economy and also on nations that buy its oil — like India and China. 

 

This would mark an extraordinary shift for a president who’s been pushing a peace plan that favors Russia and would likely allow Putin to lock in the territorial gains of his illegal invasion. Trump also said he’d rush Patriot missiles to Kyiv to counter Russia’s escalating drone and air attacks on civilians and promised an unspecified stock of other top-line weapons.

 

On the face of it, Trump has reversed his strenuous attempts to win Putin’s favor.

 

But why?

 

The best explanation is that the president hasn’t had an epiphany about the need to stop an expansionist Russia devouring an independent, sovereign democracy in Europe. He’s more likely just mad that Putin spurned all of his overtures and made him look foolish, not to mention thwarting his push for a Nobel Peace Prize.

 

Perhaps Trump will follow through and back Ukraine to the hilt. But the 50-day ultimatum may turn out to be a lot less than it seems.

 

In the meantime, it gives Russia another seven weeks to seize more Ukrainian land in its summer offensive and to pummel civilians in cities. Perhaps after that, Putin might offer the president a carrot and agree to more time-consuming diplomacy. History shows that the Russians might talk — but only while they carry on fighting.

 

And if it comes to it, sanctioning Russia probably won’t do much since trade with the US is comparatively tiny. Is Trump really going to ignite trade wars and disrupt US diplomacy with mighty powers India and China just to save Ukraine?

 

It’s easy to be cynical. But three years of bitter war in Ukraine suggests it’s the most logical position. And Putin might have bought into perceptions on the president’s TACO (Trump Always Chickens Out) diplomacy.

 

So Trump hasn't turned exactly up the heat on Russia as much of the media commentary in Washington assumes. In fact, he's given himself an excuse to do little of lasting significance for those 50 days.

Thanks for reading.

 

This weekend, a US delegation led by Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent travels to Osaka, Japan, to represent the US at the World Expo.

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