Balance of Power
In betting so heavily on a US president broadly shunned in Britain, Prime Minister Keir Starmer is taking a risk for a leader out of favor with his party and left-leaning voters.
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The Brits are preparing to pull out the stops for Donald Trump during his state visit to the UK.

But the royal treatment will come with some painful small talk if Prime Minister Keir Starmer is to avoid the awkward topic of Jeffrey Epstein, among others such as Palestinian statehood and climate change.

From a Saudi oasis to a Dutch palace — and Windsor Castle this week — Trump revels in royal attention.

For all the efforts to court him, the US leader is famously hard to pin down. Flattery doesn’t necessarily pay off: Trump will still back Israel to the hilt, slap trade tariffs on Europe, and expect it to pick up the checks to defend Ukraine.

It’s not really clear the UK is treated much better despite Brexit — which Trump supported — or the much-vaunted “special relationship.”

The risk is that Britain plays its ace by deploying King Charles III and the monarchy’s hospitality and policy differences with the US are merely glossed over without resolving anything.

Then there’s the shadow cast by deceased sex offender Epstein. His connections to the rich and powerful will be hard to overlook since they included Trump, Charles’s younger brother Prince Andrew, and Peter Mandelson, whom Starmer just fired as UK ambassador to Washington.

Starmer and Trump at the US president’s golf course in Scotland in July. Photographer: Tolga Akmen/EPA/Bloomberg

The prime minister personally delivered Trump’s invitation by hand. He earned praise for forging that bond.

But betting so heavily on a US president broadly shunned in Britain is a risk for a leader out of favor with his party and left-leaning voters. Optics-wise, now is a bad time for sycophancy.

The tricky dynamics Starmer faces this week are baked into the menu itself: Dover sole, a curious choice for a burger-loving US president.

Key lime pie from his adopted state of Florida, though, is more attuned to Trump’s tastes. Flavia Krause-Jackson

Trump and his wife Melania with Charles and his wife Camilla in 2019. Photographer: Chris Jackson/AFP/Getty Images

Global Must Reads

Trump predicted a “big cut” from the Federal Reserve on Wednesday as it grapples with a slowing labor market, stubborn inflation and an unprecedented push from the president for lower borrowing costs (the median estimate from a Bloomberg survey of economists is for a 25 basis-point reduction). Trump, meanwhile, made a final push to sway a US appeals court to let him oust Fed Governor Lisa Cook over allegations of mortgage fraud, again asserting that she’s failed to dispute the claims.

Cook’s term officially ends in January 2038. Photographer: Anna Rose Layden/Bloomberg

China ruled that Nvidia violated anti-monopoly laws with a high-profile 2020 deal, ratcheting up pressure on Washington during sensitive trade negotiations underway in Madrid. The US and China are “very close” to resolving their differences over TikTok, US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent told reporters today as discussions resumed in the Spanish capital, amid expectations that the Trump administration will again extend a Sept. 17 deadline for China’s ByteDance to divest the US assets of TikTok or shut it down.

Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu greeted Secretary of State Marco Rubio in Jerusalem yesterday by touting the strength of relations with the US, days after his military’s strike against Hamas officials in Qatar drew a rebuke from Trump. The US president met with the Qatari prime minister on Friday after the attack on Doha strained ties between the US and a key Gulf ally.

Germany’s far-right AfD party nearly tripled its support in municipal elections in the nation’s most-populous state of North Rhine-Westphalia yesterday as both parties in Chancellor Friedrich Merz’s ruling coalition lost ground, intensifying pressure on his national government to push through reforms. Backing for the AfD is about twice as strong in the former communist east and the anti-immigrant party is trying to replicate that success in western regions like NRW.

One day after he said he was losing patience with President Vladimir Putin over the war in Ukraine, Trump announced he’s prepared to move ahead with “major” sanctions on Russian oil if NATO countries do the same. Many European nations have cut back or stopped purchasing Russian crude, but several NATO allies — including Hungary — have blocked more stringent proposals by the European Union to target Russia’s energy sector.

A Turkish court adjourned a hearing examining the legitimacy of the main opposition CHP party’s leadership until next month, delaying a decision in a case seen as part of a broader crackdown by President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan ahead of elections due in 2028.

CHP leader Özgür Özel during a rally in Ankara yesterday. Photographer: Adem Altan/AFP/Getty Images

The US, South Korea and Japan held their first joint multi-domain drills since Trump and President Lee Jae Myung took office, drawing threats of retaliation from North Korea against what it labeled a war rehearsal.

Philippine President Ferdinand Marcos Jr. said no one will be spared, including his relatives and allies, in the government’s probe into the misuse of public funds for flood control projects, and threw his support behind protests against corruption.

Islamic State and al-Qaeda are gaining ground in Africa as they retreat elsewhere, using new technologies to boost numbers and expand territories and cementing the continent’s reputation as the global epicenter for jihadist attacks.

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Chart of the Day

Chinese economic activity slowed more than expected across the board in August, increasing the likelihood that policymakers will roll out more stimulus to try to hit the nation’s official growth goal. Industrial output and consumption had their worst month yet this year after a sharp slowdown in July, an underperformance that may heap more pressure on Chinese negotiators during high-level trade talks this week with US representatives.

And Finally

A long-delayed, 53 billion-rand ($3.1 billion) project that South Africa’s commercial hub is hoping will end a growing water crisis has hit fresh opposition. Communities comprising 1,600 people have filed a formal complaint to the African Development Bank and demanded that the Lesotho Highlands Water Project II to bring water to Johannesburg be temporarily halted. Among other issues, they say they’ve been displaced by the development and denied adequate compensation.

The Katse Dam, part of the Lesotho Highlands Water Project. Photographer: Walter Dhladhla/AFP/Getty Images

Thanks to the 39 people who answered Friday’s quiz question, and congratulations to Marc Weinberg, who was first to correctly identify Ethiopia as the country that last week inaugurated Africa’s biggest hydroelectric dam.

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