Morning Briefing: Europe
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Good morning. The US dangles the possibility of a trade truce with China. Rachel Reeves may need a £22 billion buffer. And read about a $300 trillion crypto mistake. Listen to the day’s top stories.

— Lily Nonomiya and Teo Chian Wei

US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent dangled the possibility of extending a pause of import duties on Chinese goods for longer than three months if the country halts its plan for strict new export controls on rare-earth elements. Here’s our explainer on how trade tensions between the world’s biggest economies have flared up again. And America isn’t the only country nervous about China curbs—G-7 ministers are considering a joint response to discourage the country’s planned move to control rare earths. 

UK Chancellor Rachel Reeves needs to raise her fiscal buffer fivefold to have a better-than-even chance of avoiding more tax rises and spending cuts in the coming years, according to the Institute for Fiscal Studies. She may need to find as much as £22 billion at the budget next month just to restore the razor-thin £9.9 billion margin she had in March, the think tank said.

French premier Sebastien Lecornu appears set to survive two no-confidence motions after announcing plans to suspend a contentious pension law in order to win support in the National Assembly.

Banks and Private Credit Clash After Dimon’s Cockroach Barb
On Wall Street, everyone’s a friendly rival until the losses start.

Gold rose to a fresh record as heightened trade frictions and bets that the Federal Reserve will press on with monetary easing supported demand. The buying spree has spread to other precious metals, with silver surging more than 3% yesterday. Read about how gold jewelry sales have rebounded as buyers see no end to the blazing rally. Check out our Markets Today live blog for all the latest news and analysis relevant to UK assets.

An Apple executive leading an effort to develop AI-driven web search is leaving the company to join Meta. Here’s more about Apple’s broader AI ambitions

More Top Stories
Potentially ‘Catastrophic’ Breach of Cyber Firm Blamed on China
Sweden's Cashless Society Could Be More Vulnerable to Hybrid War Attacks

Deep Dive: The Rich Debate

Bernard Arnault. Photographer: Nathan Laine/Bloomberg

Luxury tycoon Bernard Arnault’s wealth just got a big boost from shoppers around the globe, and the rise could feed into the debate about proposed tax-the-rich policies in France.

  • The 76-year-old Frenchman saw his fortune soar by almost $19 billion yesterday to $192 billion, the second-biggest market-based increase ever for him, according to the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.
  • The surge was driven by a 12% increase in shares of LVMH—the designer brand company he controls—after it reported better-than-expected quarterly sales.
  • In a newspaper interview last month, the billionaire lashed out at economist Gabriel Zucman, a proponent of an eponymous wealth tax that has garnered strong support from some of the country’s left-wing political opposition.   

The Big Take

Obscure Commodity Trader’s Breakneck Rise Puts Global Market on Edge
Even within the industry, few have heard of Radiant World. But its rapid growth has rattled the world's iron ore market and drawn attention from China.

Opinion

Crypto’s recent sell-off revealed that some stablecoins are a lot more risky than they are made out to be, Lionel Laurent writes. It might be just the reminder traders need. With huge pressure on regulators to keep up and onshore perpetual contracts being considered by the US, let’s hope the next crash doesn’t expose more tokenized hedge funds.

More Opinions
Chris Hughes
Patrick Drahi Deserves Lots More Than $20 Billion for His French Crown Jewel
Parmy Olson
OpenAI’s Pivot to Porn Is Problematic — But Lucrative

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Before You Go

Source: PayPal

Stablecoins issuer Paxos accidentally minted $300 trillion of PayPal’s PYUSD token before burning them minutes later. The size of the error far exceeds the $2.4 trillion in US dollars in circulation and the entire $3.8 trillion crypto market. 

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