The US deepens military tensions with Venezuela, Gaza peace plan progress falters, and China warms t͏‌  ͏‌  ͏‌  ͏‌  ͏‌  ͏‌ 
 
sunny ISLAMABAD
cloudy SHANGHAI
thunderstorms TAIPEI CITY
rotating globe
November 12, 2025
Read on the web
semafor

Flagship

Flagship
Sign up for our free email briefings
 

The World Today

Semafor World Today map graphic
  1. Blasts in India, Pakistan
  2. US-Venezuela tensions flare
  3. Shutdown’s economic impact
  4. China, US in AI cold war
  5. Gaza peace plan obstacles
  6. Tehran evacuation warning
  7. BBC in crisis
  8. London housing woes
  9. K-beauty in China
  10. Baijiu maker takes a hit

An exhibition for a boundary-breaking but virtually unknown painter, and why the economy is running on magic beans.

1

India, Pakistan blasts test stability

Security personnel and members of the forensic team work at the site of an explosion near the historic Red Fort in the old quarters of Delhi
Near Red Fort in Delhi. Adnan Abidi/Reuters

Blasts in the capitals of India and Pakistan raised tensions between the neighboring rivals. A day after a car explosion killed eight people in New Delhi, authorities said they are investigating it as a possible terrorist attack, and the Indian prime minister warned the perpetrators “will not be spared.” Without offering evidence, Pakistan blamed India for a suicide bombing in Islamabad that killed at least 12 people on Tuesday. The two countries’ relationship is “already on tenterhooks” after their brief armed conflict earlier this year, an expert noted, pointing to growing “stability risks… across a wide expanse of South Asia.” Pakistan has also been involved in border clashes with Afghan militants.

2

US naval buildup in LatAm waters

	A U.S. Navy sailor uses a measuring stick to check water depth as the landing craft utility (LCU-1662) rests on the shore during training exercises in Arroyo
Ricardo Arduengo/Reuters

The US’ expanding naval presence around Latin America is deepening military tensions with Venezuela. The US fleet’s most advanced aircraft carrier arrived in Caribbean waters Tuesday, as Venezuela raised its military alert levels; the country reportedly plans to respond to a potential US attack with guerrilla-style resistance. Washington said the move was to disrupt narcotics trafficking — more than a dozen US strikes have targeted boats allegedly carrying drugs. But assets like the USS Gerald R. Ford are meant to project power and deterrence, The Washington Post reported: “The only reason to move it there is to use it against Venezuela,” one expert said. The deployments prompted the UK to suspend some intelligence sharing with Washington, CNN reported.

3

Economics of a shutdown

Chart showing University of Michigan US consumer sentiment index

US representatives were urgently called back to Washington, where lawmakers are on track to end the country’s longest government shutdown as early as Wednesday. The planned vote in the House comes after senators approved a funding measure despite top Democrats’ opposition. The toll of the 42-day shutdown on the US economy could take months to determine: Much of the estimated $15 billion in weekly lost activity will be recouped as federal workers start collecting paychecks and travelers can confidently book holiday tickets, Semafor’s Liz Hoffman wrote. But the standoff took a toll on consumer sentiment — now at its lowest level since June 2022 — and the disagreement over health insurance premiums that ignited it will squeeze Americans already pulling back.

For the latest on the shutdown, subscribe to Semafor’s daily Washington, DC briefing. →

4

Silicon Valley adopts Chinese AI

This photo taken on Nov. 6, 2025 shows the launch of Alibaba’s open-source foundational large language model Qwen in Wuzhen
Huang Zongzhi/Xinhua via Getty Images

Silicon Valley is increasingly running on Chinese AI, raising the stakes of the US and China’s battle for technological supremacy. Airbnb’s CEO recently said the company prefers Alibaba’s Qwen over OpenAI’s ChatGPT for its customer service chatbot, and hot startups like Cognition AI and Thinking Machines Lab are similarly embracing Chinese tech, with the country’s low-cost, open-source models outweighing US security and geopolitical concerns, Bloomberg wrote. The shift comes as Nvidia’s CEO said last week that China was “nanoseconds behind” the US in AI; the superpowers are locked in an AI cold war driven “as much by fear as by hope of progress,” The Wall Street Journal wrote, and the outcome will “redefine everything.”

5

Gaza peace plan progress falters

	Israeli soldiers enter the Gaza Strip in a military vehicle from at the Israel-Gaza border
Nir Elias/Reuters

Efforts to advance a US peace plan for Gaza appear to be faltering over reconstruction and security challenges. Israel still controls just over half of the enclave, and Hamas the rest, with territorial divides marked by yellow concrete blocks. Without a timeline for further Israeli withdrawals, and with Hamas’ refusal to disarm, this de facto partition could last years, Reuters reported, with reconstruction likely limited to the Israeli-controlled side. The US’ plan to build “communities of vetted Gazans” on the Israeli side “risks creating an enduring divide down the middle of Gaza,” The Atlantic wrote. Private US government documents have also raised questions about the feasibility of deploying a multinational peacekeeping initiative in the territory, according to Politico.

6

Tehran evacuation warning over drought

A general view of Milad Tower in Tehran
Majid Asgaripour/WANA via Reuters

Iran’s president warned that Tehran may have to be evacuated because of an unprecedented nationwide drought. Reservoirs supplying Mashhad, the second-biggest city, are at 3% capacity, while those serving Tehran are below 5%. The capital has seen no rainfall in autumn for the first time in 100 years, but the problem goes beyond: Groundwater levels are sinking, thanks to illegal well drilling, unsustainable agriculture, and rising temperatures, The New York Times reported. Iran is not alone in seeing falling water tables. In Pakistan’s Lahore, aquifers are increasingly running dry, much of northern China is seeing a groundwater “crisis,” and Chennai in India is similarly afflicted, as a result of both climate change and environmental mismanagement.

7

BBC’s future uncertain

A person walks outside BBC Broadcasting House after Director General of BBC Tim Davie and Chief Executive of BBC News Deborah Turness resigned following accusations of bias at the British broadcaster
Jack Taylor/Reuters

The future of the BBC is uncertain as it grapples with the resignations of two top executives, legal threats from US President Donald Trump, and a polarized public. The British broadcaster is “exposed and rudderless” following the high-profile departures over a dubiously edited 2021 Trump speech, The Guardian wrote. The controversy reflects the uniquely divisive nature of contemporary politics, an UnHerd editor argued: “For a growing number of political issues, there is no ‘neutral.’” It also mirrors the “destructive energy” that now defines the UK’s national mood, veteran journalist Tina Brown noted. The crisis comes at a particularly fraught time for the BBC: Its government charter is up for renewal in 2027.

For more insights from the world of media, subscribe to Semafor’s Media briefing. →

Plug
Friends of Semafor graphic

Join over 2 million readers who trust The Hustle for their daily 5-minute read on business and tech stories that actually matter. Become part of this informed community that starts each day with essential insights delivered with a fun, engaging twist. Sign up today.

8

London housing crisis hits UK economy

Chart showing UK dwellings completed annually since 1949

London’s housing crisis is holding back the entire British economy, figures show. The capital is now the UK’s weakest-growing region, a problem when it accounts for almost a quarter of the country’s economy. London’s economy relies on a skilled workforce, an economist told the BBC, but it has missed housebuilding targets, and the shortage means that many workers cannot afford to live there. Many of the city’s primary schools are closing as families are unable to afford suitably sized homes. London is not alone: Housing affordability has declined sharply in the last decade, a recent Goldman Sachs report found, driven by land use restrictions, and the costs of mortgage payments and rent have risen relative to income.

9

China warms to K-beauty, fashion

Women check out cosmetic products of TIRTIR at its store in Seoul
Kim Soo-hyeon/Reuters

China is regaining its allure as a market for K-beauty brands, with Beijing signaling an openness to Korean cultural exports amid thawing tensions. China was once considered a “graveyard for Korean firms,” but beauty brands are relocating their Chinese R&D bases to Shanghai, bringing them closer to regulators and pointing to increased business confidence, the Korea Economic Daily reported. Korean fashion designers and e-commerce platforms are also opening up physical locations in affluent Shanghai districts. The optimism follows a recent summit between the countries’ leaders, who pledged to strengthen ties after years of contention. One benchmark that remains a ways off: a