Regime may have misjudged how uprising would spread ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌

Iran’s clerical regime is no stranger to public uprisings. And each time it’s faced mass protests in recent decades, it’s responded with a similar brutal playbook to crush the opposition.

It shuts down the internet, uses its sophisticated network of facial recognition cameras to identify and arrest protesters, and spreads propaganda and disinformation to justify the crackdown.

But Iran expert Amin Naeni says the authorities misjudged how quickly these latest protests would spread – and their attempts to brand the protesters “agents” of the US and Israel may backfire, too.

In a heavily controlled society, is it possible to gauge just what kind of government Iranians want?

UK researchers Ammar Maleki and Pooyan Tamimi Arab have conducted reliable surveys inside Iran that show a clear preference for regime change. They found Iranians also believe protests, foreign pressure and interventions are more likely to bring political change, instead of elections or reforms.

Justin Bergman

International Affairs Editor

 

This is the playbook the Iranian regime uses to crack down on protests – but will it work this time?

Amin Naeni, Deakin University

Iran’s clerical leaders have long tried to control the narrative when protests break out. So far, protesters are continuing to risk their lives for freedom.

Iran protests: our surveys show Iranians agree more on regime change than what might come next

Ammar Maleki, Tilburg University; Pooyan Tamimi Arab, Utrecht University

Surveys reveal overwhelming support for an end to the Islamic Republic.

‘Masterclass in poor governance’: what was the board’s role in the end of Adelaide Writers Week?

Kim Goodwin, The University of Melbourne

Just-resigned Adelaide Writers Week director Louise Adler calls the cancellation of the event ‘no surprise’. What went wrong?

View from The Hill: Kevin Rudd, a controversial energy ball as ambassador to US, quits early

Michelle Grattan, University of Canberra

Rudd is leaving his post as Australian ambassador to the US early to return to his previous role as president of Asia Society.

As we begin to assess the fire damage in Victoria, we must not overlook these hidden costs

Sonia Akter, Australian National University; Manh-Tien Bui, Australian National University; Quentin Grafton, Crawford School of Public Policy, Australian National University

Bushfires disproportionately expose disadvantaged communities, and a one‑size‑fits‑all recovery can deepen those inequalities.

Why the Heated Rivalry TV series understands gay men better than the book

Harry Stewart, Flinders University

Rachel Reid’s Heated Rivalry doesn’t quite capture all of the nuances of a gay male relationship. Jacob Tierney’s adaptation does.

What’s cooler than sex, drugs and pashing models? I found out from 3 rock memoirs

Liz Evans, University of Tasmania

A former rock journalist reviews memoirs by Lemonhead Evan Dando, teen Rolling Stone writer Cameron Crowe and feminist punk legend Kathleen Hanna.

What’s the difference between a sprained ankle and a twisted ankle?

Hunter Bennett, Adelaide University ; Lewis Ingram, Adelaide University

As you step out, you trip and land awkwardly. You think you’ve twisted your ankle. Or is it a sprain? What’s the difference anyway?

Politics + Society

Health + Medicine

Science + Technology

Arts + Culture

Writers’ week controversy
"Yesterday’s letter, claiming the arts community has contributed to antisemitism by confusing Israel with Jewish identity, is an often repeated claim by Israel supporters. It is simply a false claim. If it happened, the howls from the Israel supporters would be deafening. There are claims that 'Palestine will be free' is an antisemitic death threat. It's not. The Israel supporters want this to be true, so they can claim the high moral ground and undermine Israel's critics."
John Whaite

Car touchscreens
"Thanks to Milad Haghani for this article on car touchscreens. Anyone pinged by state government agencies for touching a mobile phone, even inadvertently when stopped at lights, will be justifiably miffed that global corporations, who sell them cars with similar tech, are simply asked for a 'from-next-year' adjustment."
David Young

Free school lunches
"For many years I worked in Aboriginal communities and observed the ongoing problem of school attendance. The elders, teachers and education officials tried every way to induce the children to school and, yes, that included school breakfasts. School attendance surged and by lunchtime it had plummeted. I think educators need to look for different inducements."
Bronwen King

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