SIFMA SmartBrief
Bond traders shift focus to growth risks amid oil surge | Wells Fargo boosts repo market after asset cap removal | War costs add pressure to Treasury market
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April 1, 2026
 
 
SIFMA SmartBrief
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Morning Bell
 
Global M&A hits record despite war risks
Global M&A activity reached about $1.3 trillion in the first quarter, up nearly 20% year over year and driven by megadeals including Unilever's $44.8 billion food unit sale. Despite a recent slowdown linked to the Iran war and market volatility, dealmakers say strong financing conditions and long-term strategic priorities continue to support activity.
Full Story: Bloomberg (3/31), Financial Times (4/1)
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Digital Assets Are Growing Up. Is Your Compliance Program?
Crypto was born anti-establishment. Now regulators are catching up—and fast. Firms that can't monitor employee crypto trading, NFTs and new tokens risk losing access to key markets. See how technology gives you a better handle on digital asset risk before it becomes a business inhibitor, not just a regulatory headache.
 
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Industry News
 
Bond traders shift focus to growth risks amid oil surge
US bond traders are shifting their focus from inflation to potential economic growth risks due to rising oil prices driven by the Iran war. Investors are now pricing in possible interest rate cuts by the end of 2026, reflecting concerns about global growth. This shift has led to increased long positions in Treasury notes and a rally in government debt, supported by Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's indication that the central bank may overlook rising oil prices.
Full Story: Bloomberg (3/31)
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Wells Fargo boosts repo market after asset cap removal
Since the removal of a US-imposed asset cap last year, Wells Fargo has injected over $200 billion into the overnight repurchase agreement market, significantly enhancing liquidity and stability. This move comes as regulators warn of potential strains in the repo market. Wells Fargo's primary dealer assets surged 68% last year, outpacing major competitors and making the bank one of the top three counterparties to US money-market funds.
Full Story: Bloomberg (3/31)
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War costs add pressure to Treasury market
Rising US war spending and fiscal risks are emerging as a new threat to Treasury markets, adding to inflation-driven bond selloffs as yields climb and rate-cut expectations fade. Analysts warn an extended conflict could push the deficit toward 8% of GDP, raising concerns about long-term debt sustainability and investor demand.
Full Story: Reuters (3/31), Bloomberg (3/31)
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Private equity borrows to fund payouts amid slowdown
Bloomberg (3/31)
 
 
Markets rally on hope for end to Iran conflict
The Wall Street Journal (3/31)
 
 
US job openings fall sharply in February as labor demand weakens
Reuters (3/31)
 
 
Global markets roiled by Iran war volatility
CNBC (3/31)
 
 
RBC forms AI Group to boost client value, security
Traders (3/31)
 
Is your AI governance ready?
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Policy Roundup
 
SEC allows broker-dealers to use equities as collateral
The Securities and Exchange Commission has issued an order allowing broker-dealers to use equities from the Russell 1000 and S&P 500 as collateral when borrowing securities from institutional investors. The move aims to enhance liquidity and risk management in securities lending and is expected to benefit institutional investors by providing a more efficient mechanism for collateralization.
Full Story: Markets Media (3/31), Securities Finance Times (3/31)
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PCAOB to revise quality control rules
Public Company Accounting Oversight Board Chair Jim Logothetis has announced plans to rewrite rules for accounting firms' quality control systems, which were finalized near the end of Joe Biden's presidency and criticized by the industry as unnecessary and costly. Logothetis, a former EY auditor, said, "Certain requirements included in QC 1000 may be unnecessary for the standard to meet the regulatory objectives of the PCAOB, and may not contribute to audit quality."
Full Story: Financial Times (3/31), Bloomberg Tax (3/31)
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OCC eliminates recovery planning for large banks
The Office of the Comptroller of the Currency finalized a rule eliminating recovery planning requirements for banks with more than $100 billion in assets, arguing the plans were overly scenario-based and of limited value during stress. The change does not affect resolution planning requirements and reflects the agency's broader effort to streamline its supervisory framework, a move consumer advocates warn could weaken safeguards.
Full Story: American Banker (3/31)
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Democrats question private credit firms on management practices
Bloomberg (4/1)
 
 
Fed's Barr cites potential risks of stablecoins
Bloomberg (3/31)
 
 
Fed seen holding rates steady despite oil-driven inflation
CNBC (3/31)
 
 
CFTC warns on insider trading in prediction markets
Bloomberg (4/1)