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Friends,
By now you’ve probably heard the latest news that Iran’s Revolutionary Guard has officially surrendered to Trump, and American soldiers are now occupying Tehran.
I just made that up. But who the hell knows? Two weeks ago, Trump declared: “For the first time in 3,000 years, we are going to have peace in the Middle East.”
Today, he declared that the ceasefire is “over.”
Weeks ago we had a ceasefire and a “memorandum of understanding” with Iran that, according to Trump, gave us everything we wanted, including an end to Iran’s nuclear program.
But the so-called “memo of understanding” left almost everything to be negotiated, including Iran’s nuclear program, its missile program, its support for terrorist groups, and its repression of its own people.
Before that — at the end of February — we had the promise of a quick “four-to-six-weeks” intervention.
The cold, hard fact is that America is far worse off today that we were before Trump started this conflict — without consulting with Congress or our allies. The Strait of Hormuz is once again effectively closed. Oil prices are moving upward.
Iran’s nuclear stockpile remains hidden. The regime in Tehran is more extreme and resolute about gaining a nuclear bomb than ever before.
Meanwhile, thirteen Americans have been killed and some 425 have been wounded in action. Over 3,400 Iranians have been killed, including 120 school children, and 26,000 Iranians have been injured. The Pentagon has already asked Congress for about $70 billion to cover the early operations around Iran, and the cost rises every week.
Trump never gave the American people a good reason for attacking Iran in the first place. He had no objective, and no exit strategy.
This likeliest future is a low-level continuation of this conflict as far as the eye can see — coupled with sporadic announcements from Trump that it’s over and America has won, which are then contradicted by another set of attacks by Iran’s missiles and drones, followed by another round of American aggression, and Iranian retaliation.
This is the “forever war” that Trump criticized when he ran for office in 2024.
The question is whether he and the spineless Republican congress that have supported this debacle will be held to account.
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