Meta and Microsoft — two of the largest and spendiest companies in the world — are set to report earnings results amid AI market rout

Satya Nadella, Microsoft CEO. (Sven Hoppe/Getty Images)

 

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Meta, Microsoft set to report earnings results amid AI market rout

Meta and Microsoft — two of the largest and spendiest companies in the world — are slated to report earnings results after the close today at a time when investors are feeling increasingly queasy about the amounts Big Tech is spending on artificial intelligence. 

Last week, Google’s parent reported capital expenditures above its previous forecast, making for its first cash-flow negative quarter since it went public in 2004. The company said its spending is aimed at meeting a growing backlog of cloud contracts. 

Still, that news dragged down other hyperscalers, including Meta and Microsoft, as well as the broader market. 

Microsoft is expected to keep its free cash flow in the green. Meanwhile, analysts are expecting Meta to report its first free cash-flow negative quarter since 2012. Here is what the two have guided for capex as of their last report: 

  • Microsoft — which will be reporting its fiscal Q4 results — said in its last report that it expects to spend $190 billion in capital expenditures this calendar year. 
  • Meta (whose fiscal calendar overlaps with the normal calendar year) set its guidance for 2026 capex at between $125 and 145 billion. 

THE TAKEAWAY

I’m old enough to remember when investors were excited about big spending on capex, seeing it as both proof that a company is staying on the cutting edge and as a promise of future demand. 

Now they seem more eager to see money coming in, not out. 

“In our view, investors are becoming less willing to reward higher AI spending on its own and are increasingly looking for progress in earning a return on that investment,” said Brian Therien, a senior analyst at Edward Jones.

Investors have more to look forward to on Thursday: Amazon and Apple, with the latter less exposed to AI anxieties than the former. 

— J. Edward Moreno

 

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