Balance of Power
Global leaders seek thaw in relations as they play for time.
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In an age when decisions of great consequence are announced — and reversed — in an instant on social media, it may seem like a paradox that governments worldwide are looking to buy time.

It’s a reality that underlies talks between US and Chinese officials in London today. While both sides still need access to each other’s markets, and therefore are seeking a thaw in relations, they also both want to reduce dependence on the other and are using whatever leverage they have to get what they want.

President Donald Trump wants the US to reshore key industries, control critical supply chains and ensure it doesn’t need to rely on China for rare earths and magnets — a task that cannot happen overnight, if at all.

China, meanwhile, is looking to match the US’s technological and military supremacy, and is aiming to use its control of critical minerals to loosen US curbs on advanced chips.

Gantry cranes and container ships at the Yangshan Deepwater Port in Shanghai, China. Photographer: Qilai Shen/Bloomberg

Although the sudden appearance of DeepSeek’s AI capabilities or the insides of a Huawei phone suggest that gap may be narrowing quickly, China still has a ways to go when it comes to breakthroughs on chipmaking equipment, chip design and commercial aircraft.

Both have been accused of upending the global trade system and rules-based order, as well as weaponizing others’ reliance on the world’s two largest economies. That has led to a push — from Canada to the Indo-Pacific — to become more autonomous.

Vladimir Putin, too, is playing for time. The Russian president knows that his maximalist demands of Ukraine are unacceptable and shows no sign of being serious about peace. Indeed, Moscow is reconstituting its military forces and ramping up its weapons-making capacity.

Intelligence assessments are that Russia will be in a position to attack NATO territory within five years. So Europe is racing to boost its defenses before then.

It’s doing so while looking to delay a tariff war with the US and rewire its economy amid budget constraints. That’s as leaders across the continent strive to push back against far-right parties knocking at the doors of power.

Playing for time has in the past led to tragic consequences.

The question, now as then, is what political leaders do with the time they’re trying to buy.— Alberto Nardelli

Trump and Xi Jinping in 2017. Photographer: Nicolas Asfouri/Getty Images

Global Must Reads

The US and China resume trade talks today to try to defuse tensions over rare-earth minerals and advanced technology following a phone call between Trump and Xi last week. Both sides have accused the other of reneging on a deal in Geneva in May, when they reached an agreement to at least temporarily lower tariffs that had climbed to more than 100%. Meanwhile, Beijing says it granted approval to some applications for the export of rare earths.

Donald Tusk’s premiership is reeling from a presidential-election debacle that’s left the Polish leader diminished in the face of a resurgent nationalist opposition. The defeat of his ally has sparked calls from some ruling coalition lawmakers for Tusk to step aside, exposing tension that’s built in his pro-European alliance since it vaulted to power 19 months ago, ending eight years of populist rule.

Demonstrators in Los Angeles clashed with law enforcement on a third day of protests against the Trump’s administration’s deportation policies, with the arrival of National Guard troops deployed by the president over the weekend inflaming tensions. The heightened federal response over the objections of state and city officials led to growing friction between local leaders and the White House. Both Trump and California Governor Gavin Newsom exchanged blame over the escalating unrest.

WATCH: National Guard troops arrived in Los Angeles on Sunday under orders from Trump, escalating a showdown with California leaders who say the federal deployment is politically driven and unnecessary.

Emmanuel Macron will visit Greenland, the self-ruling territory of Denmark that Trump has said he wants to take over, on June 15. The French president discuss security in the North Atlantic and the Arctic, climate change, critical minerals and European sovereignty. The visit will come before leaders of the Group of Seven nations including Macron meet in Canada for a summit.

Israel intercepted a humanitarian aid ship trying to reach Gaza that carried activists including Swedish climate advocate Greta Thunberg. The Freedom Flotilla Coalition said that the vessel was in international waters, its crew “abducted,” and the cargo — which included food and medical supplies — confiscated. This came as Israeli Defense Minister Israel Katz said that no vessel would be permitted to breach the naval blockade that’s intended to prevent the transfer of weapons to Hamas.

The Freedom Flotilla Coalition released a photo today it says shows Israeli authorities intercepting their ship. Source: Freedom Flotilla Coalition

Last Thursday, presidential hopeful Miguel Uribe Turbay warned that Colombia was fast sinking back into its violent past. Two days later, a gunman shot him in the head at a rally, with the opposition senator now fighting for his life in a Bogota hospital while prosecutors try to find out who may have ordered the shooting.

Spain’s main opposition party rallied thousands of people in a demonstration in the heart of Madrid, calling for early elections following accusations of corruption against the Socialist-led government of Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez. 

Thailand’s top army official designated commanders of two task forces to oversee border crossings with Cambodia as tensions simmer following a skirmish in late May.

Bangladesh will hold the next national election in the first half of April 2026, narrowing the timeline from interim leader Muhammad Yunus’ earlier range of December to June and setting a clear target for the return to an elected government in the South Asian nation.

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Chart of the Day

Chinese exports rose 5% last month, less than expected, as the worst drop in shipments to the US in more than five years counteracted strong demand from other markets. Despite record exports so far this year, the slump in US demand may have been a factor in convincing Beijing to sit down with Trump’s trade negotiators in Geneva and agree to a tariff truce.

And Finally

Some 2.5 million people visit the Pyramids of Giza each year with hopes of an epic experience befitting one of the World’s Seven Wonders. But for decades, a trip to Egypt’s most famous tourist spot meant battling crowds and parrying aggressive hawkers. A $30 million revamp aims to change that. A network of buses now whisks visitors around the site, the hard-sells have been tamed — and tourist can enjoy fine dining overlooking the 4,600-year-old monuments. All this officially debuts on July 3 — a milestone seven years in the making.

A new hop-on, hop-off bus stop at the Giza pyramids. Photographer: Islam Safwat/Bloomberg

Thanks to the people who answered Friday’s quiz and congratulations to Karol Bojnanský, who was first to correctly identify Bulgaria as the latest country set to join the euro common-currency bloc.

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