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Washington Edition
More to come on Trump's tariffs
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This is Washington Edition, the newsletter about money, power and politics in the nation’s capital. Today, White House correspondent Jennifer A. Dlouhy looks at where things stand on tariffs and what comes next. Sign up here and follow us at @bpolitics. Email our editors here.

Next Round

In President Donald Trump’s campaign to reshape global commerce, it’s often seemed the only certainty is uncertainty.

That’s perhaps never more been the case than now, as the hours tick toward 12:01 a.m., when the US begins imposing a slew of new tariffs on imports from dozens of countries. 

Although Trump laid out the country-level rates last week — ending at least one mystery that had gripped Washington and much of the world for months — there’s still plenty left unresolved. 

For instance, although Japan, South Korea and the European Union secured a discounted 15% rate for their automobile and auto parts exports to the US — which otherwise would be subject to 25% levies — the US has yet to codify that change. And until it does, cars imported from those countries will face the higher rate.

Trump’s deals with the EU, Japan and South Korea also sidestep details that must be hammered out — including the particulars of policy changes promising more market access for American goods. 

Countries that don’t have deals are still courting Trump. Consider the long-shot, last-minute bid by Switzerland’s President Karin Keller-Sutter to beat back Trump’s new 39% tariff on the country’s exports. Keller-Suttler’s quest began with a flight to Washington yesterday and is set to end with a flight home this evening without a meeting with Trump. 

Meanwhile, Mexico has another 90 days to cut a deal, and a tariff truce with China is seen as likely to be extended beyond its Aug. 12 expiration. And Trump’s threat to impose secondary tariffs on goods from countries that buy Russian energy still looms ahead of a Friday deadline. The president already ratcheted up rates on India for consuming Russian oil.

More: Read the Full List of US Tariff Rates on Global Trading Partners

Trump’s latest country-level tariffs will apply to goods loaded onto vessels for transport into the US before 12:01 a.m. New York time on Thursday. But there are carve-outs for informational materials as well as donations of food, clothing and medicine. 

There’s also plenty more on the horizon. The stage is being set for sectoral tariffs on semiconductors, critical minerals, pharmaceuticals and other goods that Trump declared could, in some cases, rise to 250%.

Tariff revenue has surged. From May through July this year, the Treasury took in $82 billion compared to less than a third of that — $24 billion — during the same three months in 2024, a 241% increase.

The one certainty is that Trump likes the revenue. Some of it ultimately is expected to come from US consumers in the form of higher prices. But to Trump, it's hundreds of billions of dollars just “pouring into our country.” — Jennifer A. Dlouhy

Don’t Miss

Trump told European allies he’s planning to meet with Russian President Vladimir Putin and Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy as soon as next week in another bid to bring peace between the two countries.

Trump is set to announce that Apple is committing to spending another $100 billion on domestic manufacturing to bring more of the company’s supply chain to the US.

The president’s advisers are encouraging him to nominate a temporary Federal Reserve governor to fill the soon-to-be vacant seat on the central bank’s board.

National Economic Council Director Kevin Hassett accused the Fed of injecting politics into its interest-rate decisions, citing the central bank’s moves before and after the election.

Hassett Photographer: Stefani Reynolds/Bloomberg

Steve Bannon, a onetime Trump adviser and an influential voice in conservative circles, is pushing for EJ Antoni, chief economist at the conservative Heritage Foundation, to lead the Bureau of Labor Statistics.

Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook called the July jobs report “concerning,” and said it could signal an inflection point for the US economy.

Some prominent Democratic lawmakers are demanding party leaders take a harder line against Trump as the president circumvents checks and balances and consolidates power.

The Trump administration is canceling a massive wind project in Idaho, another blow to the the US wind industry as the president seeks to propel fossil fuel development nationwide. 

Israel has the support of the US to make “tough decisions” as it considers whether to completely occupy Gaza in an attempt to destroy Hamas, US Ambassador Mike Huckabee said.

The former deputy for New Jersey’s US attorney claims she was fired in “direct retaliation” for judges appointing her as the state’s top federal prosecutor.

Far-right provocateur Laura Loomer’s criticism has further complicated efforts to resolve $10 billion of debt owed by Puerto Rico's struggling power utility

Watch & Listen

Today on Bloomberg Television’s Balance of Power early edition at 1 p.m., hosts Joe Mathieu and Kailey Leinz interviewed Joseph Lavorgna, counselor to Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent, about Apple’s plans to invest in US manufacturing and Trump’s search for a new Fed chief.

On the program at 5 p.m., they talk with Democratic Representative Jake Auchincloss of Massachusetts about a possible Trump meeting with Putin and Zelenskiy and the fight over congressional redistricting.

On the Trumponomics podcast, host Stephanie Flanders, Bloomberg’s head of government and economics, speaks with Bloomberg Economics Chief US Economist Anna Wong and Bloomberg News senior correspondent Shawn Donnan about how Trump’s tariffs are currently affecting US businesses, China and the rest of the world. Listen on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

Chart of the Day

Peak income may come earlier than you like. As people near eligibility to collect Social Security, they experience shrinking paychecks on average. By age 57, most men are past their prime earnings, according to an analysis of 110 million active ADP payroll records. For women, peak earnings comes even earlier, at 53. One reason why women see the peak earlier in life is because they tend to hold fewer managerial jobs where there might be more upside for wages. In 2023, 46% of all managers in the US were women, according to Pew Research. That's up from 29% in 1980, but still a smaller proportion than their share of the labor market. The data does show that since the pandemic, both men and women are hitting their peak earning year later in life. — Alex Tanzi

What’s Next

Data on consumer borrowing in June will be reported tomorrow.

Initial and continuing jobless claims for the week ending Aug. 2 will be released tomorrow.

The consumer price index for July will be released Aug. 12.

The producer price index for July will be reported Aug. 14.

Retail sales for July will be reported on Aug. 15.

The University of Michigan’s preliminary read of consumer sentiment will be released Aug. 15.

The House and Senate are on break until Sept. 2.

Seen Elsewhere

  • The discovery of 15 young children in a Los Angeles mansion plus six more elsewhere has triggered an investigation into the man and woman who are listed as their parents, the Wall Street Journal reports.
  • There likely were hundreds of more deaths attributable to the wildfires that ravaged Los Angeles at the beginning of the year than the 31 officially counted, according to a study reported by CBS News.
  • Organizations known as paper mills are churning out fake or low-quality scientific papers on an industrial scale, a lucrative business catering to scientists eager to pad their resumes, the New York Times reports.

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