As August draws to a close, two observations stand out. First, the month's typical surge in volatility in both traditional and cryptocurrency markets has not materialized.

Aug. 28, 2025

 
 

What to know:

 

By Omkar Godbole (All times ET unless indicated otherwise)

 

As August draws to a close, two observations stand out. First, the month's typical surge in volatility in both traditional and cryptocurrency markets has not materialized.

That's probably driven by market expectations of forthcoming Fed interest-rate cuts combined with record fiscal spending—essentially an amplified “Goldilocks” scenario. Yet, it raises the question: How much stimulus is too much?

 

Second, institutional flows reveal a divergence between bitcoin (BTC) and ether (ETH). The U.S. ether ETFs have registered a net investment of $3.69 billion this month, extending the four-month inflows streak. Bitcoin ETFs, in contrast, have seen an outflow of over $800 million, the second-highest on record. The difference is a sign of investor rotation into ether from its larger rival and possibly a bull run in altcoins ahead.

 

That brings us to the key trend to watch out for in the coming month: the boom in altcoin treasury companies.

 

"The rise of altcoin treasuries can be the decisive spark that ignites the final phase of the current market cycle and ushers in another wave of the altseason," said Ray Yossef, a crypto market analyst and founder of crypto app NoOnes.

 

Big names like BitMine, SharpLink, Galaxy Capital, Pantera and even corporations like Trump Media have begun focusing on blue-chip altcoins like ETH, SOL, BNB, and CRO as treasury-grade reserve assets, Yossef said in an email.

 

"Billions of dollars are being allocated and reallocated into these treasuries, and that institutional vote of confidence is boosting the perception of altcoins, signaling that institutional capital is no longer reserved exclusively for BTC," he said.

 

In his latest article, Arthur Hayes, CIO and co-founder of Maelstrom Fund, predicted that ENA, ETHFI, and HYPE will rally 51x, 34x, and 126x, respectively, by 2028.

 

Over the next 24 hours, BTC traders should keep an eye on $113,600, as this level may experience an increase in selling pressure from short-term traders who reach their breakeven. The market focus seems to be on smaller altcoins. The CoinDesk 80 Index was recently up over 4% on a 24-hour basis while the CoinDesk 20 Index added just 0.82%.

 

In key news, Bybit announced the addition of Volmex's bitcoin and ether implied volatility indices to its Advanced Earn Page, a hub for high-yield structured products. The move underscores the growing demand for volatility trading.

 

In traditional markets, bond yield curves continue to steepen across the advanced world, with longer-duration yields rising to multi-month/decade highs. Stay alert!

 

What to Watch

Crypto

  • Aug. 28: Router Protocol (ROUTE) will debut the on-chain swaps upgrade on its mainnet.

  • Aug. 29, 2 p.m.: The Stellar Development Foundation will host a livestream on X to discuss how NEAR Intents will enable new DeFi use cases on the Stellar blockchain.

  • Sept. 4: Polygon will switch its mainnet token from MATIC to POL. Holders of MATIC on Ethereum, Polygon zkEVM or centralized exchanges may need to take action.

Macro

  • Aug. 28, 8 a.m.: Mexico's National Institute of Statistics and Geography releases July unemployment rate data.

    • Unemployment Rate Est. 2.9% vs. Prev. 2.7%

  • Aug. 28, 8:30 a.m.: The U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) releases (2nd Estimate) Q2 GDP data.

    • Core PCE Prices QoQ st. 2.6% vs. Prev. 3.5%

    • GDP Growth Rate QoQ Est. 3.1% vs. Prev. -0.5%

    • GDP Price Index QoQ Est. 2% vs. Prev. 3.8%

    • GDP Sales QoQEst. 6.3% vs. Prev. -3.1%

    • PCE Prices QoQ Est. 2.1% vs. Prev. 3.7%

    • Real Consumer Spending QoQ Est. 1.4% vs. Prev. 0.5%

  • Aug. 28, 1:30 p.m.: Uruguay's National Statistics Institute releases July unemployment rate data.

    • Unemployment Rate Prev. 7.3%

  • Aug. 28, 6:00 p.m.: Fed Governor Christopher J. Waller will speak on “Payments” at the Economic Club of Miami Dinner, Miami, Fla. Watch live.

  • Aug. 29, 8:30 a.m.: Statistics Canada releases Q2 GDP data.

    • GDP Growth Rate Annualized Est. -0.6% vs. Prev. 2.2%

    • GDP Growth Rate QoQ Prev. 0.5%

  • Aug. 29, 8:30 a.m.: The U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) releases

    • July consumer income and expenditure data.

    • Core PCE Price Index MoM Est. 0.3% vs. Prev. 0.3%

    • Core PCE Price Index YoY Est. 2.9% vs. Prev. 2.8%

    • PCE Price Index MoM Est. 0.2% vs. Prev. 0.3%

    • PCE Price Index YoY Est. 2.6% vs. Prev. 2.6%

    • Personal Income MoM Est. 0.4% vs. Prev. 0.3%

    • Personal Spending MoM Est. 0.5% vs. Prev. 0.3%

  • Aug. 29, 11 a.m.: Colombia's National Administrative Department of Statistics (DANE) releases July unemployment rate data.

    • Unemployment Rate Est. 8.9% vs. Prev. 8.6%

Earnings (Estimates based on FactSet data)

  • Aug. 28: IREN (IREN), post-market, $0.18

 
 

Token Events

Governance Votes & Calls

  • Aug. 27: Flux (FLUX) to host ask me anything on progress of ArcaneOS, FluxAI Agents, and FusionX beta.
  • Aug. 27: Sui (SUI) to host ecosystem X spaces with Ledger at 11 a.m.
  • Aug. 27: Helium (HNT) to host community call on Discord at 12 p.m.
  • Aug. 27: Sushi (SUSHI) to host ask me anything on X spaces at 1 p.m.

Unlocks

  • Aug. 28: Jupiter (JUP) to unlock 1.78% of its circulating supply worth $26.36 million.
  • Sept. 1: Sui (SUI) to release 1.25% of its circulating supply worth $153.1 million.
  • Sept. 2: Ethena (ENA) to release 0.64% of its circulating supply worth $25.64 million.
  • Sept. 5: Immutable (IMX) to unlock 1.27% of its circulating supply worth $13.26 million.

Token Launches

  • Aug. 27: Bitlayer (BTR) to list on Kraken, KuCoin and LBank
  • Aug. 27: sBTC (SBTC) to list on Moso.
 

Conferences

The CoinDesk Policy & Regulation conference (formerly known as State of Crypto) is a one-day boutique event held in Washington on Sept. 10 that allows general counsels, compliance officers and regulatory executives to meet with public officials responsible for crypto legislation and regulatory oversight. Space is limited. Use code CDB15 for 15% off your registration through Sept. 1. 

  • Aug. 28: Stablecoin Conference 2025 (Mexico City)
  • Aug. 28-29: Bitcoin Asia 2025 (Hong Kong)
  • Sept. 3-5: bitcoin++ (Istanbul)

Join the first major crypto regulation and policy gathering of the fall. CoinDesk: Policy & Regulation unites D.C.’s most important public officials with legal, policy and compliance leaders from the private sector. Don't miss keynotes representing the Senate, House, SEC, Treasury and OCC... and much more.

Space is limited. Use code CDB15 for 15% off your registration through September 1.

Token Talk