Balance of Power
After President Donald Trump upended the US partnership with India, Prime Minister Narendra Modi is turning to Asia.
View in browser
Bloomberg

Welcome to Balance of Power, bringing you the latest in global politics. If you haven’t yet, sign up here.

As President Donald Trump upends the years-long US partnership with India, Narendra Modi is turning to Asia.

The Indian prime minister is in Japan on a two-day jaunt, where he’s set to secure an economic-security pact covering semiconductors, critical minerals and artificial intelligence — key needs for India’s booming economy.

Modi will then make his first visit to China in seven years to attend the Shanghai Cooperation Organisation summit, where he will hold talks with President Xi Jinping.

Trump has targeted India with 50% tariffs over its imports of Russian oil on the grounds it funds Vladimir Putin’s war on Ukraine. Yet instead of reducing those crude shipments, Modi appears to be in the mood to shore up relations in India’s backyard.

It’s a gamble. The US is India’s largest export market. The tariffs are expected to curb economic growth and ravage labor-intensive industries from textiles to gems and carpets. Foreign investors will surely now be wary of locating new factories in India.

But mending fences with China is increasingly in both countries’ interests. India needs China’s critical minerals, factory machinery and personnel. Given the new trade barriers in the West, China is looking to India’s massive consumer market.

The biggest hurdle to closer ties has always been their longstanding border dispute. India and China fought a brief border war in 1962, and clashed again in 2020. Of the two, China by far remains the dominant economic and military power.

Yet there are indications that barrier is a little lower. Back in March, Xi wrote a secret letter to India’s figurehead president testing the waters on improving ties. The rapprochement has gathered steam since.

Xi wants the SCO forum to be a grouping that rivals the US-led order. Closer ties with India are a step in that direction. Dan Strumpf

An Indian army convoy near the Chinese border in 2020. Photographer: Yawar Nazir/Getty Images

Global Must Reads

Whoever wins Trump’s fight with the Federal Reserve, the damage to an institution at the heart of the US economy — and the world’s financial markets — will be hard to undo. The president’s attempt to fire Fed Governor Lisa Cook is unprecedented, as he seeks to bend US monetary policy to his will, defying a near-universal consensus that it’s best kept away from politicians’ hands.

Thailand’s Constitutional Court removed Prime Minister Paetongtarn Shinawatra for an ethics violation, the second leader it has ousted in just over a year in a move that intensified months of political turmoil. Her dismissal ends a one-year tenure as Thailand’s youngest premier and the 39-year-old also becomes the third member of the influential Shinawatra family forced from power.

Paetongtarn Shinawatra. Photographer: Dario Pignatelli/Bloomberg

Indonesian President Prabowo Subianto called for calm as authorities sought to contain rising public anger that has fueled protests into a third day. Prabowo apologized for the death of a motorcycle taxi driver who was struck and killed by an armored police vehicle during demonstrations yesterday, an incident which stoked discontent with the government less than a year into his presidency.

Argentine President Javier Milei shrugged off allegations of bribery implicating his sister, Karina, accusing opposition forces of “lies” and obstructing economic progress. He and Karina, who is the president’s general secretary, were pelted with stones during campaign events this week following the eruption of a corruption scandal involving allegations of kickbacks on state drug purchases.

Just days after Trump said he’d like to meet with North Korean leader Kim Jong Un, Pyongyang responded by announcing Kim’s plans to join Putin at a Chinese military parade in Beijing. Kim’s attendance at the Sept. 3 Victory Day celebrations will send a clear message to Washington and its allies that it’s no longer the same North Korea they faced years ago when the US leader and Kim met in person for nuclear talks.

Kim Jong Un. Source: Getty Images

The meeting touted by Trump between Putin and Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy is unlikely to happen, according to German Chancellor Friedrich Merz, adding to concern that a swift end to Russia’s war on its western neighbor is increasingly out of reach.

Japan’s Defense Ministry is requesting a record ¥8.8 trillion ($60 billion) for its share of the national budget for the next fiscal year, including money for fleets of drones and long-range missiles to counter growing challenges from China and North Korea.

Republican senator and close Trump ally, Lindsey Graham, suggested imposing additional tariffs on Norway in retaliation for a decision by the country’s sovereign wealth fund to divest its holdings of US heavy-equipment maker Caterpillar.

New Zealand is considering letting some wealthy foreigners purchase luxury homes, offering an exemption to the current ban on overseas buyers as it seeks to attract more high-net-worth investors.

Don’t miss from Bloomberg Weekend: Zahra Hirji and Leslie Kaufman drill into the Trump administration’s assault on the US Federal Emergency Management Agency, and Zahra teams up with Aaron Clark to tell the story of scientist Glen Kenny, who spent three days confined to a special chamber set at 40C (104F) to see how his body held up in the brutal indoor temperatures observed during a 2021 heat wave. Subscribe to the Bloomberg Weekend newsletter here.

Glen Kenny at the Human and Environmental Physiology Research Unit of the University of Ottawa. Photographer: Justin Tang/Bloomberg

Sign up for the Washington Edition newsletter for news from the US capital and watch Balance of Power at 1 and 5 p.m. ET weekdays on Bloomberg Television.

Chart of the Day

François Bayrou is clinging to a slim chance of remaining France’s prime minister as parliamentary math leaves only a narrow path to survival in next month’s confidence vote. To avoid being forced to resign on Sept. 8, the premier must convince either the far right or an improbable series of leftist lawmakers to abstain. With analysts expecting Bayrou’s ouster, France looks to be on the verge of plunging back into acute political uncertainty.

And Finally

Since Russia’s invasion of Ukraine in early 2022, Telegram has helped to underpin an influencer economy that has defied sanctions and censorship. Russian independent media and bloggers moved to the Dubai-based platform to skirt blocks on their websites and other social media services, while state media and propagandists now use it extensively. That success could be fragile, however. The Russian government has embarked on a new crackdown on foreign platforms, pushing users toward more pliable home-grown services.

A rally for internet freedom and in support of Telegram in Moscow in 2018. Photographer: Sergei Ilnitsky/EPA-EFE/Shutterstock

Pop quiz (no cheating!). The leaders of Germany, France and Poland visited which country this week in a show of support for its leaders, who are under pressure from Russia? Send your answers to balancepower@bloomberg.net 

More from Bloomberg

  • Check out our Bloomberg Investigates film series about untold stories and unraveled mysteries
  • Next China for dispatches from Beijing on where China stands now — and where it’s going next
  • Next Africa, a twice-weekly newsletter on where the continent stands now — and where it’s headed
  • Economics Daily for what the changing landscape means for policymakers, investors and you
  • Green Daily for the latest in climate news, zero-emission tech and green finance
  • Explore more newsletters at Bloomberg.com
Follow Us

Like getting this newsletter? Subscribe to Bloomberg.com for unlimited access to trusted, data-driven journalism and subscriber-only insights.

Want to sponsor this newsletter? Get in touch here.

You received this message because you are subscribed to Bloomberg's Balance of Power newsletter. If a friend forwarded you this message, sign up here to get it in your inbox.
Unsubscribe
Bloomberg.com
Contact Us
Bloomberg L.P.
731 Lexington Avenue,
New York, NY 10022
Ads Powered By Liveintent Ad Choices