Australia Briefing
Good morning and welcome back, it’s Ainsley here with all the news you need to start your working week. Today’s must-reads:• ANZ to pay A$24
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Good morning and welcome back, it’s Ainsley here with all the news you need to start your working week. 

Today’s must-reads:
• ANZ to pay A$240 million fine
• Australia to invest A$12 billion in defense hub
• Russia targets Australian-linked billionaire’s empire

What's happening now

ANZ is to pay a A$240 million fine after admitting to “unconscionable conduct” by incorrectly reporting bond trading data to the Australian government, said the Australian Securities & Investments Commission. The lender overstated trading volumes by “tens of billions of dollars” and engaged in “widespread misconduct” across products and services impacting nearly 65,000 customers, according to a statement from ASIC. 

Australia will spend A$12 billion on a defense hub to build naval ships and dock nuclear submarines, Prime Minister Anthony Albanese announced Sunday, as Canberra seeks to bolster US backing for the Aukus pact. The funding commitment is for the development of the Henderson defense precinct, south of Perth.

Denis Shtengelov built his company from the streets of his Siberian hometown more than 30 years ago into a global confectionery empire with billions of dollars in revenues. Now the tycoon, worth at least $2.6 billion according to the Bloomberg Billionaires Index, is at risk of losing a big part of his fortune. Russian prosecutors are targeting his KDV Group, one of the country’s largest snack producers, for expropriation. They argue companies tied to the entrepreneur, who now appears to live in Australia, supplied Ukrainian forces with food, according to an Interfax report

Australia is on track to overshoot its 2030 rooftop solar targets, with enthusiasm for panels and batteries offsetting drops in broader renewable investment and large projects. About 27 gigawatts of rooftop solar had been installed by homes and small businesses by end-June, the Clean Energy Council said. That is set to rise to 37.2 gigawatts by the middle of 2030, beating the nation’s target by more than 4%, the renewable energy advocacy group said.

Australia’s dollar may extend its rally into the end of the year on narrowing interest-rate differentials with the US and Chinese stimulus. The Aussie has advanced 7.7% so far this year, to 2025 highs around 0.6669 on Friday. Societe Generale and Westpac see it touching 0.6800 by the end of December. Though the call is also dollar-dependent, the greenback is weighed by concerns around inflation and the labor market.

What happened overnight

Here’s what my colleague, market strategist Mike “Willo” Wilson says happened while we were sleeping…

US stocks hovered near all-time highs as sliding consumer sentiment and Treasury bonds did little to alter bets the Federal Reserve will cut rates on Wednesday. This week the Aussie and Kiwi could move on Australian jobs and New Zealand GDP data on Thursday. The bigger volatility, though, may come from multiple central bank interest rate decisions offshore. ASX futures point to a soft opening for local stocks.

US and Chinese representatives discussed TikTok, trade and the economy during a day of high-level talks in Madrid, a senior Treasury official said, as diplomacy between the world’s two biggest economies intensifies. A US delegation helmed by Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent and Trade Representative Jamieson Greer and a Chinese group led by Vice Premier He Lifeng met for almost six hours on Sunday. 

Utah Governor Spencer Cox blamed social-media companies for helping foment divisiveness that led to the killing of conservative activist Charlie Kirk, calling them “conflict entrepreneurs” that profit from political polarization.

Spencer Cox speaks at a press conference following the fatal shooting of political activist Charlie Kirk. Photographer: Michael Ciaglo/Getty Images

When Masayoshi Son bets big, it either marks the dawn of an era, or the dusk of a tech cycle. So how should we read the tea leaves now that Son is “all in” on Sam Altman’s OpenAI, asks Shuli Ren in Bloomberg Opinion.

What to watch

Nothing major scheduled

One more thing...

Sony Pictures’ Demon Slayer: Kimetsu no Yaiba Infinity Castle was the top movie in US and Canadian theaters, setting an opening weekend record for the Japanese anime genre. The film, about a boy who joins an organization hunting demons after his little sister is turned into one, brought in $70 million, the division of Sony Group said Sunday. That topped the previous $31 million record set by Pokémon: the First Movie-Mewtwo Strikes Back in 1999. 

Demon Slayer: Kimetsu no Yaiba Infinity Castle Source: Sony Pictures
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