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Today’s Agenda

FOMGEE

Do you know how hard it’s been to sit at my desk all day, pretending to work, while knowing the moment was almost here? I’ve been going through the motions, answering emails, sipping my iced coffee, but in the back of my mind, the anticipation was killing me. All I could think about was the DRAMA that was about to unfold. We’ve been building up to this for months, but today — Wednesday, Sept. 17 — is the culmination of it all. Everyone knows what’s coming, but the question remains: How far will they go?

You might think I’m talking about Fed Day, but you’d be wrong. The last-ever episode of The Summer I Turned Pretty dropped at 3 a.m. New York time and I — like many other sane individuals who refuse to get up at the crack of dawn to watch a show made for teenagers — have yet to watch it.

But I did watch our Fed Day livestream, so let me walk you through it. The central bank opted for a modest quarter-point move, not the “jumbo” cut that some were hoping for. Jonathan Levin was surprised to learn there was only one dissent from the newly-admitted Stephen Miran, and so was Allison Schrager. “When you have the whole committee in lockstep, that to me suggests some serious groupthink and overconfidence,” she said. Kathryn Anne Edwards was skeptical as well: “Will this be enough … given that the pressure is coming from mainly tariffs, rather than a slowdown in the economic cycle?”

Some investors are crossing their fingers that the Fed’s cut will be the first of many so that longer-term interest rates go down. While that’d be a dream for homebuyers, the US government and corporate America, Jonathan says there’s pretty much zero chance of that happening. The last time the Fed cut under similar conditions in 2024, yields on 10-year Treasury notes surged. As he writes in his column, “the bond market has a mind of its own.”

So, too, does Belly Conklin. Really, the overlap between the FOMC and TSITP cannot be overstated. They both have confusing acronyms. They both have a chokehold on society. They both have amazing playlists. Seriously: This Fed Day Soundtrack curated by Bloomberg Opinion? It gives Jenny Han a run for her money. And, much like the rate cut, we haven’t had a present-day Conrad-Belly kiss since last season. Eeek!

Bonus Economy Reading: The “smart money” crowd has a poor investing record, and they may be timing the market badly again. — Nir Kaissar

A Jaunt Across the Pond

President Trump’s big trip to the UK “has become a profoundly unpopular charade,” writes Max Hastings. Behind closed doors, King Charles and Queen Camilla “expressed dismay” at the visit. If that weren’t bad enough, the prime minister is, in Max’s words, “a duck so lame that he can scarcely waddle.” And then there’s “the supreme embarrassment” of him having to fire an ambassador to the US who was embroiled with the late pedophile Jeffrey Epstein, the face of whom was projected onto Windsor Castle on Tuesday evening:

Photographer: Lena Voelk/AFP

“I have occasionally had the privilege of attending state banquets for foreign leaders at Buckingham Palace. These are wondrous, glittering affairs that humble even the most world-weary guests,” Max writes. “But the dinner at Windsor for Donald Trump will be a travesty, because almost none of the invited British guests, save a few City of London fat cats who love this president because he makes them even richer, will want to be there.”

Perhaps the most exciting guests, then, will be the Silicon Valley royalty that Parmy Olson says accompanied Trump. Although Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang and OpenAI CEO Sam Altman promised to inject grand sums of money into the UK economy during their trip, Parmy says the UK ought to take such commitments with a pinch of salt. “There’s an impossibly wide gap between Britain and America on AI infrastructure,” she warns.

There’s also an impossibly wide gap in etiquette, something I expect we’ll hear more about tomorrow after this evening’s opulent state banquet. Apparently, there’s even a bespoke cocktail to symbolize America’s “special relationship” with the UK. But for the guest of honor, a glass of Diet Coke will do.

Bonus UK Reading: Each of Keir Starmer’s radioactive missteps is coming harder on the heels of the next. — Rosa Prince

Double Standards

Sometime between Sept. 12 and 13, the Department of Justice removed a government report on domestic terrorism. On a normal day, it’d just be another webpage purged by an administration hellbent on erasing records. But on the heels of Charlie Kirk’s assassination, the move rang alarm bells.

As Justin Fox says, Americans are growing worried about the uptick in political violence. They deserve to have access to legitimate data (which, if you’re curious, Justin has plenty of). Even if the scraped report was a coincidence, the timing is unfortunate. Republicans are getting called out for using Kirk’s murder to silence dissent, yet the conservative activist was a champion of debate.

It’s not the only double standard the party is accused of having. Ronald Brownstein says “the Supreme Court and President Donald Trump’s administration are mounting parallel crusades to virtually eliminate the use of race in government decision-making,” with one big exception: ICE enforcement. Under the law, it is wrong to use race in college admissions, hiring decisions and the voting process, but it’s OK to factor it in when deciding who to target during an immigration raid.

Similar mixed messaging is present in Trump’s crusade against the New York Times. “For all of its concerns that the media has undermined American norms and institutions, the suit itself is an attempt to defenestrate an institution that the Constitution’s framers singled out for special protection because they saw it as essential to a healthy democracy,” writes Tim O’Brien. “This is also a feature of the Trump era. The president has spent the last decade laying siege to an array of bedrock US institutions … while also taking a cudgel to valuable norms such as equal opportunity, free markets, hard-earned expertise and basic civility.”

Telltale Charts

Why is Australia so much more aware of the climate crisis? That’s the question at the center of David Fickling’s latest column. Unlike other countries, where global warming remains a distant problem best dealt with behind the closed doors of boardrooms and courthouses, Australians have a personal stake in the transition: More than 4.2 million rooftop solar systems “regularly supply nearly half of electricity in the country’s main grid, while saving families money on their bills,” he writes.

Monday Sept. 22 marks the 40th anniversary of the Plaza Accord, which Daniel Moss and Gearoid Reidy say was “the high point of post-World War II financial diplomacy.” For those unfamiliar, the flashy deal between the Group of Five was designed to create a weaker dollar, and unlike most geopolitical arrangements, it worked marvelously. It’s a shame that Daniel and Gearoid say we’ll likely never witness another feat of global cooperation like it.

Further Reading

The Supreme Court may soon strike down Trump’s signature trade plan. It’s for the best. — Bloomberg editorial board

Gen Z has changed the conversation in Nepal. The region will need to catch up. — Karishma Vaswani

Creating a no-fly zone over Ukraine would be a risk, but it’s worth taking. — James Stavridis

ChatGPT’s new safeguards for kids are a welcome change, but they need to be clear for parents, too. — Parmy Olson

One of the main problems in finance? Don’t take the auditor to the strip club. — Matt Levine

Instead of being mad at Elon Musk’s space leadership, Europe should get even. — Lionel Laurent

ICYMI

The war on wind power gets paused for Bitcoin.

America’s deadly love affair with cocaine.

States issue their own vaccine recommendations.

Kickers

Jurassic Parking in St. Pete. (h/t Stacey Shick)

Outdoor Voices pivots to horse girls.

TikTok has a public urination problem.

Unwanted pet goldfish become zoo dinner.

Notes: Please send goldfish and feedback to Jessica Karl at jkarl9@bloomberg.net.

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