What the first phase of a Gaza peace plan will bring
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Thursday briefing: What the first phase of a Gaza peace plan will bring | The Guardian

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Palestinians in Khan Younis celebrate on a street following the news that Israel and Hamas have agreed to the first phase of a peace plan for Gaza.
09/10/2025
Thursday briefing:

What the first phase of a Gaza peace plan will bring

Aamna Mohdin Aamna Mohdin
 

Good morning. After more than two years of devastating war, a ceasefire has finally been announced in Gaza.

US president Donald Trump said Israel and Hamas have agreed to the first phase of a peace plan to pause fighting and secure the release of hostages and prisoners. Under the deal, Hamas is expected to release 20 surviving hostages over the coming days in exchange for Palestinian detainees, while Israeli forces will begin withdrawing from most of Gaza.

“This means that ALL of the Hostages will be released very soon, and Israel will withdraw their Troops to an agreed upon line as the first steps toward a Strong, Durable, and Everlasting Peace,” Trump wrote on social media.

In a separate interview on Wednesday, Trump said he believed the hostages would be “coming back” Monday.

Israeli prime minister, Benjamin Netanyahu, welcomed the deal, saying: “With God’s help, we will bring them all home”. Hamas, meanwhile, urged Trump and international guarantors to ensure Israel fully implements the ceasefire terms.

Officials on all sides have described the agreement as fragile. It is the first real test of whether lasting peace is possible. So what’s in the deal, how are both sides responding, and will it hold? I’ll take you through those questions. That’s after the headlines.

Five big stories

1

Gaza | Israel and Hamas have agreed to the “first phase” of a peace plan to pause fighting and release some hostages and prisoners held in Gaza, bringing the best hope yet of a definitive end to a bloody two-year conflict that has killed ten of thousands, destabilised much of the Middle East and prompted protests across the world.

2

Health | Ministers are preparing to raise the amount the NHS pays pharmaceutical firms for medicines by up to 25% after weeks of intensive talks with the Donald Trump administration and drugmakers.

3

Education | Universities in the UK reassured arms companies they would monitor students’ chat groups and social media accounts after firms raised concerns about campus protests, according to internal emails.

4

AI | The Bank of England has warned there is a growing risk of a “sudden correction” in global markets as it raised concerns about soaring valuations of leading AI tech companies.

5

Politics | The Conservatives will scrap stamp duty on sales of primary residences if they win the next election, Kemi Badenoch has said, in a policy-heavy speech designed to improve her standing as Tory leader and her party’s economic credibility with voters.

In depth: ‘Tears of joy flowed’

Hostage Matan Zangauker’s sister and mother react in Tel Aviv.

When news of the ceasefire broke, Palestinians in Gaza reacted with a mix of joy and disbelief. “Honestly, when I heard the news, I couldn’t hold back. Tears of joy flowed. Two years of bombing, terror, destruction, loss, humiliation, and the constant feeling that we could die at any moment,” Samer Joudeh told the AFP from Gaza.

In Tel Aviv, families of hostages and their supporters gathered in the early hours of the morning, chanting “Nobel prize to Trump”. Some popped open bottles of champagne and cheered. Others wept and embraced previously released hostages as the square filled with crowds of Israelis celebrating the news.

The precise details of the deal to end Israel’s war in Gaza remain unclear, but as the Guardian’s global affairs correspondent Andrew Roth notes, “the statement of purpose by both Israel and Hamas is meaningful.”

So what exactly is in the deal?

My colleague Archie’s recent First Edition newsletter outlines Trump’s 20-point peace plan, which includes several key elements:

• No role for Hamas in Gaza’s future and an amnesty for its members
• A phased withdrawal of Israeli forces
• The return of all living and deceased hostages
• A surge of humanitarian aid and reconstruction of essential infrastructure
• A commitment against annexing Gaza or forcing Palestinians into exile

According to people familiar with the talks, Hamas is expected to release all 20 living hostages this weekend, while the remains of those killed will be handed over in later phases.

The Israeli army would withdraw from roughly 70% of Gaza and, in return, Israel would free several hundred Palestinian prisoners.

The agreement has been endorsed by key Arab states and regional powers, and is being described as the most credible chance to end the conflict since the collapse of the March ceasefire. But the real test lies in what comes next and in the many details that have been left unsaid.


What is left to discuss?

Senior officials from Qatar, Turkey, Egypt and the United States joined the delegations in Egypt’s Red Sea resort of Sharm el-Sheikh on Wednesday, the third day of talks. Mediators urged both sides to bridge their remaining differences over Trump’s 20-point proposal.

That pressure appears to have worked for the first phase of the agreement. However, it is still unclear whether negotiators made progress on the more contentious issues, including Trump’s demand that Hamas demilitarise and questions over who will govern Gaza once the fighting stops. Trump’s initial plan envisioned a postwar Gaza governing authority potentially headed by the former UK prime minister Tony Blair. It was criticised for sidelining key Palestinian political figures. Hamas had insisted in talks that a group of Palestinians lead a technocratic government.

The plan stated that governance of the Gaza Strip would eventually be handed over to the Palestinian Authority (PA), but Netanyahu, and his far-right backers in government, have pushed back heavily against this.


What are international leaders saying

World leaders on Thursday expressed hope for peace and urged Israel and Hamas to honour their commitments after US president Donald Trump announced that both sides had agreed to the “first phase” of a deal, marking a major breakthrough in the two-year war in Gaza.

UN secretary general António Guterres said in a statement: “The United Nations will support the full implementation of the agreement and will scale up the delivery of sustained and principled humanitarian relief. We will also advance recovery and reconstruction efforts in Gaza.”

British prime minister Keir Starmer called the announcement “a moment of profound relief that will be felt all around the world”.

Here is how some other world leaders responded, according to the Associated Press:

• Malaysian prime minister Anwar Ibrahim: “This development offers a semblance of hope after months of unbearable suffering and devastation.”
Argentine president Javier Milei: “I want to take the opportunity to say that I will sign the candidacy of Donald J Trump for the Nobel Peace Prize in recognition of his extraordinary contribution to international peace. Any other leader with similar achievements would have received it a long time ago,” the libertarian leader and Trump ally wrote.
Canadian prime minister Mark Carney: “I am relieved that the hostages will soon be reunited with their families. After years of intense suffering, peace finally feels attainable.”
Australian PM Anthony Albanese described the agreement as a “ray of light”. It brought “hope that after eight decades of conflict and terror, we can break this cycle of violence and build something better”.
Japanese chief cabinet secretary Yoshimasa Hayashi: “This agreement is an important step toward de-escalating the situation and achieving the two-state solution.”
New Zealand foreign minister Winston Peters: “Over the past two years, both Israelis and Palestinians have suffered immensely. Today is a positive first step in bringing that suffering to an end.”


Will it hold?

What looms in everyone’s mind is the memory of the last two ceasefires that collapsed, one in November 2023 and the other in January 2025.

In Gaza, paramedic Saeed Awad said he was initially sceptical about the possibility of another truce after so many failed attempts. “They all ended in failure. So we didn’t really pay attention to this (round),” he said. When he first heard the news, Awad said, he had to check with others, seeking confirmation. “We have been in this war and in this suffering for two years,” Awad said.

That scepticism is shared by many in Gaza, where airstrikes have continued despite a partial scaling back of Israel’s military campaign. Gaza’s health authorities said eight people were killed in Israeli attacks over the past 24 hours, the lowest toll in weeks. In recent months, daily deaths had been roughly ten times higher as Israeli forces advanced on Gaza City.

In Israel, Yehuda Cohen, father of hostage Nimrod Cohen said this moment is what they’d been waiting for. “It could have come much earlier. Let this next three days pass with no one trying to sabotage it,” he said.

The success of the deal will depend largely on the commitment of the US president. Only Trump can apply the pressure needed to prevent Benjamin Netanyahu from sending Israeli forces back into the devastated enclave.

For Trump, much may rest on how this moment is remembered. His focus on his legacy and his desire for a Nobel peace prize could be a big incentive for ensuring the agreement holds.

If it does, the deal would stand as his most significant foreign policy achievement so far.

What else we’ve been reading

Zoe Williams.
  • This piece by Zoe Williams (above) on the rise of “selfish help” books (which are packaged more subtly these days – disguised as “self care”, or written by some smart psychologist telling you how to live a happier life) reminded me that they are all, still, about putting number one first. Plus, it made me chuckle. Poppy Noor, deputy editor, newsletters

  • Popular support for Israel has plummeted to previously unseen levels in the US, while the Palestinian cause has risen. What impact, if any, will this have on US politics? Robert Tait’s deep dive on this is well worth a read. Aamna

  • I am, unfortunately, a fan of one of the most popular singers of our age (no, not Taylor Swift, but close: Olivia Rodrigo). So today, reading John Harris, on the cataclysmic surge in ticket price for gigs – sometimes going for as much as £800 – I found myself nodding vociferously in agreement. Poppy

  • And speaking of Taylor Swift, it’s not been a great week for the singer as her latest album, The Life of a Showgirl, has been dubbed a lyrical flop by critics. What should she do next? A team of Guardian Swiftologists weigh in. Aamna

  • It was satisfying to read this feature from Australia, on a couple who lost their wedding band in the ocean of all places, and got some seriously good detectives (or detectorists, in fact) on the case. What skill! What precision! Poppy

 

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Sport

Maya Le Tissier runs in celebration with teammates, mouths open wide shouting with joy, after scoring against Vålerenga

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