GFMA SmartBrief
S. Korea stocks surge on AI, corporate reforms | Dollar weakens ahead of central banks, US-China talks | HSBC's Q3 profit slips 14% due to increased expenses
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28 October 2025
 
 
GFMA SmartBrief
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Morning Bell
 
Japan, US agree rare earths supply chain deal
Japanese Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi and US President Donald Trump have signed an agreement to secure the supply of rare earths and critical minerals, responding to China's tightened export controls. The deal aims to create resilient supply chains through coordinated economic policy and investment, with Takaichi expressing a desire to usher in a "golden age" of US-Japan relations and Trump praising Japanese orders for US military hardware.
Full Story: The Guardian (London) (27 Oct.), NHK World (Japan) (28 Oct.), The Washington Post (28 Oct.)
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Global firms face a $1.2T cost surge in 2025 as new Trump-era tariffs and the end of de minimis exemptions ripple through supply chains. The result: a 64 bps margin contraction, with two-thirds of costs passed to consumers.
Read S&P Global Research
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Industry News
 
S. Korea stocks surge on AI, corporate reforms
South Korea's Kospi index has surged more than 66% this year, outperforming the S&P 500 by 49 percentage points, driven by enthusiasm for AI and corporate governance reforms. Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix have seen significant gains due to AI-driven demand for semiconductors, while sectors including defense, shipbuilding, and batteries have also contributed to the rally.
Full Story: Financial Times (28 Oct.), The Korea Economic Daily (South Korea) (28 Oct.)
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Dollar weakens ahead of central banks, US-China talks
The US dollar weakened as traders positioned themselves ahead of several major central bank meetings and the upcoming summit between US President Donald Trump and China's President Xi Jinping. The dollar index slipped 0.19%, extending losses from the previous session, while the euro and sterling both strengthened.
Full Story: CNBC (28 Oct.), Reuters (28 Oct.)
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HSBC's Q3 profit slips 14% due to increased expenses
HSBC's third-quarter profit before tax dropped by 14% year over year to $7.3 billion because of higher operating expenses, including $1.4 billion in legal provisions. However, the bank beat expectations, with net interest income rising by 15% to $8.8 billion. Revenue reached $17.8 billion, surpassing estimates.
Full Story: CNBC (28 Oct.), Financial Times (28 Oct.), France 24 (28 Oct.)
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BIS warns of inflated private loan ratings
The Bank for International Settlements has raised concerns about inflated credit ratings on private loans held by US insurers. The BIS says smaller rating agencies, under commercial pressure, may assign more favorable ratings, obscuring the true risk of complex assets. This practice increases the risk of fire sales during economic stress.
Full Story: Financial Times (27 Oct.)
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Nomura profit tops forecasts in Q3
Nomura Holdings reported a fiscal second-quarter net income of 92.1 billion yen, which, despite a 6.4% year-on-year decline, surpassed analyst expectations. The earnings beat was attributed mainly to robust performance in equity trading and M&A advisory.
Full Story: Bloomberg (28 Oct.), Reuters (28 Oct.)
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Indian IPO returns slow as post-listing gains shrink
Returns from Indian IPOs have dropped significantly in 2025, with the median one-month post-listing gain now just 2.9%, compared to 22% last year and 25% in 2023. Nearly 40% of new main board listings are trading below their offer price after a month.
Full Story: Bloomberg (28 Oct.)
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Trump's Asia trip focuses on trade deals with major partners
President Donald Trump's tour of Asia aims to advance his trade agenda through personal diplomacy, with a key meeting with Chinese President Xi Jinping. Trump has secured tariff agreements with some Southeast Asian nations and finalized a trade pact with Japan, but negotiations with South Korea, India, Australia and Taiwan face challenges.
Full Story: The Wall Street Journal (27 Oct.), CNBC (27 Oct.)
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Global Margins Strain Under Trump Tariffs
As Trump-era tariffs return, QRS analysis from S&P Global reveals a $1.2T global cost shock in 2025. Higher trade and freight costs are compressing margins worldwide, with North America proving most resilient and Latin America among the hardest hit.
Read S&P Global Research >
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Tech Trends
 
Shanghai Composite hits 4,000 as optimism rises
The Shanghai Composite Index broke above the 4,000-point level for the first time since August 2015, ending a decade-long stretch within a 3,000 to 4,000-point range. This milestone, marked by a brief 0.1% gain to 4,000.86 points, highlights a significant technical breakout for the index as investors grow increasingly optimistic following recent trade agreements between the US and China.
Full Story: The Standard (Hong Kong) (28 Oct.), Bloomberg (28 Oct.), Finimize (28 Oct.)
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PBOC likely to resume bond purchases to support economy
The People's Bank of China is expected to resume debt purchases for the first time since January to improve cash conditions and support economic growth, analysts say. The move is anticipated to help manage market volatility and facilitate increased government borrowing.
Full Story: Bloomberg (28 Oct.)
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GFMA News
 
AFME's 20th Annual European Government Bond Conference, 12 Nov 2025, Brussels, Belgium
Join us in Brussels on 12 November 2025 to celebrate 20 years of AFME's European Government Bond Conference. Bringing together 120+ professionals, this flagship event offers expert-led panels, keynotes, and roundtables focused on the latest developments impacting European Government Bond markets and Debt Management Offices. Designed with input from AFME members, the programme explores key market trends, regulatory updates, and evolving policy priorities. Held at the Radisson Collection Hotel, the conference provides valuable insights, CPD hours, and excellent networking opportunities for senior stakeholders across the European public debt and capital markets landscape.
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