Expectations for rate cuts have been reinforced in recent days after comments from San Francisco Federal Reserve Bank President Mary Daly and Fed Governor Christopher Waller in support of a December cut.
This even as fresh data showed the job market is holding up just fine — which means the Fed has less reason to rush those rate cuts. Jobless claims actually fell to a seven-month low last week.
For now, the economy is pulling off a neat balancing act: not crashing, but just soft enough to give the Fed room to keep cutting rates.
Still, investors would do well to remember that Friday's short trading session could spring a surprise. Thin crowds and low liquidity can make for wild swings in either direction. Don't say we didn't warn you.