Who knows what comes next after another rate hike? ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌

In the face of a war and energy shock, it’s one of the toughest calls for any central bank to make. Should it focus on the risks to economic growth, or the spike in inflation?

The Reserve Bank had to weigh up these competing priorities from an uncomfortable starting point. Inflation was already well above its target, even before the war in the Middle East and the 40% spike in oil prices.

So the RBA yesterday opted to hike interest rates – but it was a close call, with five board members outvoting four who preferred to hold steady.

Governor Michele Bullock says the difference of opinion was a matter of timing, not direction. That suggests another rate rise in May is not certain.

But with inflation set to peak above 4%, economists are warning another increase is likely this year. As John Hawkins writes, much will depend on how long the war lasts.

Victoria Thieberger

Business and Economics Editor

 

RBA narrowly votes to lift interest rates. The Middle East war may determine if there’s more to come

John Hawkins, University of Canberra

The second rate hike this year will add another $100 a month to the average mortgage, just as fuel prices are surging.

Attacks on hospitals are surging in war zones. What do the laws of war say about protecting them?

Shannon Bosch, Edith Cowan University

Afghanistan says at least 400 people were killed in a Pakistani strike on a hospital on Monday – the latest in a deadly year for medical staff and patients worldwide.

As the war drags on, what does victory look like for the US, Israel and Iran?

Amin Saikal, Australian National University; The University of Western Australia; Victoria University

There are two possible ways the fighting might end.

Trump’s war language is aggressive and extreme. It also offers some insight into his thinking

Rodrigo Praino, Flinders University

The US president’s language when talking about war is unlike that of any president before him.

5 books to help you understand Iran – recommended by experts

James Ley, The Conversation; Jo Case, The Conversation

These 5 books explore Iran’s Islamic Revolution through religion, politics, mythology and personal experience – and take you inside its prisons.

Iran oil crisis: why NZ’s car dependence is now a strategic liability

Timothy Welch, University of Auckland, Waipapa Taumata Rau

New Zealand generates more than 85% of its electricity from renewable sources, but transport remains almost entirely chained to imported oil.

A world-first quantum battery charges faster when it gets bigger – but it’s tiny and only lasts nanoseconds

James Quach, CSIRO

In quantum batteries, subunits take collective action to charge faster.

Victoria’s school reports are set to change. What does this mean for teachers and families?

Ilana Finefter-Rosenbluh, Monash University; Lucas Walsh, Monash University

At some schools, a significant number of parents never even open student reports.

Is Spotify’s AI ‘killing’ Australian music? What we found from analysing more than 2 million tracks

Mohsin Malik, Swinburne University of Technology; Guy Morrow, The University of Melbourne

New research finds streaming algorithms aren’t killing Australian music, but they do make it harder for emerging local artists to be discovered.

Politics + Society

Health + Medicine

Environment + Energy

Science + Technology

Arts + Culture

Are we alone out there?
"The discovery of all five fundamental nucleobases in samples from the asteroid Ryugu is wonderful science and I'm all for it. This research adds evidence 'these ingredients for life may have been widespread throughout the Solar System in its early years'. But a paradox seems to exist – it's perhaps near impossible for the right conditions for life to appear, yet once it has done so (as on our world) its resilience for survival has so far proven indestructible."
Alex Nelson, NT

What are kitchens for?
"While Caroline Cumberbatch's basic premise that kitchen design today is about status and showcasing is correct, her solution is not. Kitchens are places of work. Socialising may occur, and can be allowed for, but not at the expense of getting things done. The purpose of island benches she disparages is to provide a place for those socialising that doesn't interfere with those working with kitchen equipment. My grandparents had a kitchen with a large dining table in the centre, but that was because they had no other space in their small house with 4 children. I remember that fondly but I doubt my grandmother did."
Anthony McPhee

AI and researchers
"The article on the impacts of AI on PhD apprenticeship makes a very pertinent point on hidden costs to student researchers. Here arises an interesting question. While PhD supervisors may enjoy productivity gains with AI, would the PhD research students be able to use AI to fill up any gaps left by the supervisors, and perhaps also make productivity gains? The gains by both parties could be so alluring that AI may be in the long run the ultimate winner as both the supervisors and students might bear cognitive costs of AI reliance, affecting their mental autonomy."
Ang Ung

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