A look at the day ahead in European and global markets

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Morning Bid Europe

Morning Bid Europe

A look at the day ahead in European and global markets

By Wayne Cole, Chief Correspondent, Treasury

 
 

Data refreshes every time you open this email. For more European market news, click here. Please send any feedback to morningbid@thomsonreuters.com.

Asian investors, either very brave or very foolish, are back to buying the dip on Tuesday and most regional indices are bouncing. News Iran and Israel had agreed to halt attacks ‌on each other for now, helped the mood and pulled oil prices lower.

South Korea's Kospi is up almost 5%, having shed 8% on Monday, and is still up a trifling 83% for the year. Its bull run has sucked in more and more retail investors who are borrowing to buy and thus vulnerable to margin calls.

A recent Bank of Korea report showed leveraged investment into ⁠equities by retail investors topped a record 60 trillion won ($39.06 billion) as of the end of May, including through ETFs leveraged to chipmakers.

 

Today's Market News

  • Iran and Israel say they have halted strikes on each other for now
  • China's trade engine revs up as exporters ride AI wave
  • Ukraine's Zelenskiy says he had a 'positive' conversation with Witkoff and Kushner
  • OpenAI files for US IPO after Anthropic as AI giants head to public markets
  • Intesa launches $35 billion Monte dei Paschi bid to redraw Italian financial map
  • OPEC+ approves fourth oil output quota hike since Hormuz closure
 

CHINA NUMBERS SHINE

Gantry cranes stand near stacked shipping containers at Yangshan Port outside Shanghai, China, May 7, 2026. REUTERS/Go Nakamura

Chinese shares were aided by data showing exports rose 19% in May from a year earlier, with imports climbing 27% as both beat market forecasts. The rise in imports is all the more impressive given imports of oil are down 29% on a year ago and running at the lowest daily pace since 2018.

The Asian giant's surplus with the United States amounts to almost $114 billion so far this year, which is actually a little higher than the same period in 2025 despite ‌all ⁠of President Donald Trump's efforts with tariffs and trade hurdles.

European stock futures are modestly in the red, while Wall Street futures inched up, having been saved overnight by demand for semiconductor stocks. Much of the buying was in just five stocks and more than 60% of the S&P 500 ended lower.

Graphics are produced by Reuters

 

NEXT BIG TEST

The next big test for tech ⁠will be results from Oracle on Wednesday and Adobe the day after.

Apple shares failed to get any initial boost from a long-delayed AI overhaul of Siri, unveiled at its annual Worldwide Developers Conference.

ChatGPT-maker OpenAI confidentially filed for a U.S. ⁠initial public offering on Monday, joining rival Anthropic in a trillion-dollar rush for equity financing.

 
 

Key developments that could influence markets on Tuesday:

  • German industrial output, trade balance for April
  • U.S. trade balance for April, ⁠May existing home sales, May small business optimism
  • Informal dinner and exchange of views by ECB President Christine Lagarde and the Governing Council with EU Commissioner for Climate, Net Zero and Clean Growth
 
 

Opinions expressed are those of the author. They do not reflect the views of Reuters News, which, under the Trust Principles, is committed to integrity, independence, and freedom from bias.

 

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