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Tired of waiting months to see how private funds return? Same. Luckily, we have a kind weather report for returns, and the latest reading is excellent.
In some corners of private markets, PitchBook’s Private Capital Return Barometers indicate the best conditions for private funds in years.
- Private equity’s implied quarterly return of 4.9% in Q2 is the strongest it has been since the rebound following the 2020 downturn.
- Venture capital has also experienced one of its strongest return environments in recent years, with models suggesting a 5.5% return for the quarter.
Across all private-market strategies, conditions have improved since the last official returns data at the end of 2025.
Public equities rallied in Q2 across the model’s favored indexes, spanning growth, small-cap, and value equities, while market volatility declined and financial stress remained low. Those are precisely the conditions the model has historically associated with stronger returns, particularly for PE and VC.
The real test will come when managers begin reporting their Q2 marks. Until then, the early read is encouraging. |