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1. Blue Tsunami?
I am bullish on the prospects of Democrats winning the Senate. One month out, I’d say the rough outcome distribution looks something like this:
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Can we agree on that? Maybe you’d weight the outcomes a touch differently, but this is the rough shape and position of the curve, with the over-under at 52.5 seats. Does that sound about right to you?
Yay. Good news. Happy days are here again.
Except that they won’t be. Because even if Democrats schlong Trump in four weeks, we are staring down the barrel of something very, very dangerous.
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