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Jan 17, 2025 View in browser
 
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By Katherine Long

LEFT: Macy Petty speaks during an event celebrating the House of Representatives passing The Protection Of Women And Girls In Sports Act outside the U.S. Capitol.RIGHT: A protester's sign reads, ''protect trans kids'' at a demonstration.

Illustration by Jade Cuevas/POLITICO (source images via AP, Getty Images and iStock)

Happy Friday Rulers! It’s been a busy week (month? year?) and we don’t expect it to slow down anytime soon. On that note, let’s get to it.

Legislation seeking to bar transgender athletes from women’s and girls’ sports has seen ample success in the past few years on the state level, with bans enacted in 26 states. And the new year has ushered in a flurry of related bills on both the state and federal level.

On Tuesday, the House passed H.R. 28 — also known as the Protect Women and Girls Act of 2025 — which would amend Title IX to bar transgender athletes from participating in women’s and girls’ sports. Two Democrats voted in favor with one voting present.

“The House has delivered on its promise to protect women’s sports,” said Republican Rep. Greg Steube (Fla.), the bill’s sponsor, during a press conference following H.R. 28’s passing. “Americans are united in our belief that men have no place in women’s sports, whether it’s breaking records, entering locker rooms or stealing scholarship opportunities.”

The bill previously passed the House in 2023, before failing in the Democratic-controlled Senate. The timeline on S. 9, the current bill’s counterpart in the Senate, is to be determined.

H.R. 28’s passing follows years of similar legislation seeking to bar transgender individuals from areas such as sports and state facilities, an issue that has seen an exponential increase in legislative action in the past few years.

Doreen Denny, senior adviser at conservative nonprofit Concerned Women for America, was optimistic that H.R. 28 would pass.

“Fundamentally, what this bill is intended to do is provide clarity around this confusion that’s now happening across the country about participation in sports that is sidelining women and girls and putting their safety at risk,” Denny tells Women Rule.

These bans have been front of mind for Republicans and the incoming Trump administration, and a Republican-controlled House and Senate only makes their enactment more likely.

The bill’s success in the House also follows a federal judge’s ruling last week that blocked the Biden administration’s new Title IX rules, which aimed to strengthen protections against discrimination on gender orientation and sexual identity.

“What the House ended up doing was simply giving clarity to the law that the court has already stated,” Denny says, referring to the blockage of the Biden administration’s Title IX rules.

But opponents of H.R. 28 argue that these types of bills are harmful to transgender students, as well as women and girls.

Transgender youth involvement in sports is minimal, with 1.4 percent of trans youth ages 13 to 17 participating, according to a 2022 study conducted by the Williams Institute, a UCLA Law school think tank that focuses on issues relating to gender identity and sexual orientation.

During a debate on H.R. 28, Rep. Jerry Nadler (D-N.Y.) said, “This bill is a cruel attack on transgender children, already among the most vulnerable in our society facing high risks of suicide, violence and bullying.”

Caius Willingham is a senior policy advocate at nonprofit Advocates for Trans Equality. Willingham tells Women Rule that he’s dismayed by the bill’s passing. The bill’s passing was a “sad day for students across the country,” says Willingham, who is convinced it will contribute to an increase in harassment and bullying towards LGBTQ+ students.

“It’s going to degrade the educational environment as a whole for all students when they’re in a learning environment that is permeated with hostility,” Willingham says.

CDC data from 2023 found 40 percent of transgender or questioning students have been bullied at school. States that have passed anti-trans laws have also seen an increase in suicide attempts by trans youth.

Similar bills have also popped up this year in both red and blue states, including Nebraska, Georgia and California.

“The attacks against trans people have been accelerating over the past few years, so the intensity of the attacks we are seeing right now are not a surprise, though they are incredibly disturbing,” Willingham says.

This increase in related legislation is coupled with a shifting outlook on the issue. A Gallup poll from 2023 found that 69 percent of Americans say that participation in sports teams should be determined by the gender assigned at birth, a slight increase from the previous year.

Willingham says that this increase represents a “yearslong misinformation campaign.”

And while the data is limited, recent studies have found that trans women have no clear advantages over cis women in elite sports.

Now, Advocates for Trans Equality is turning its attention to the Senate, working on concerted outreach in Senate offices and mobilizing members of their community.

“A lot of constituents I work with have already seen these bans implemented at the state level,” Willingham says. “So this is extremely discouraging for those advocates that have been energetically pushing against these attacks at the state level. But at the same time these efforts are doubling because we know we have a chance of staving off the Senate vote.”

“We’re committed to doing everything we can to kill this bill in the Senate,” Willingham says.

POLITICO Special Report

Anita Bryant is seen sitting in her Miami home in 1978.

Kathy A. Willens/AP

Anita Bryant Is Dead. Her Ideology Is Alive and Well. by Dylon Jones for POLITICO: “From the proliferation of ‘Don’t Say Gay’ laws and bans on gender-affirming care for minors in red states to President-elect Donald Trump’s apocalyptic rhetoric about ‘child sexual mutilation,’ [Anita] Bryant’s method of curbing LGBTQ+ rights by appealing to parental fears has once again become a powerful political weapon for conservatives. In short, Bryant might have lost a short-term political battle, but she won a much longer war that many people thought had been decided conclusively in her enemy’s favor.”

How One of Trump’s Most Controversial Allies Became One of His Safest Cabinet Picks by Hailey Fuchs for POLITICO: “Pam Bondi is on track for an unexpectedly smooth Senate confirmation as attorney general, with even some Senate Democrats coming around to a lawyer who once helped Donald Trump try to overthrow the 2020 election.

Her path to helm the Department of Justice, which runs through two days of confirmation hearings beginning Wednesday before the Senate Judiciary Committee, is expected to be uneventful. That’s in large part due to the fact that there are more serious allegations plaguing other nominees, and that the attorney general pick preceding her, former Florida GOP Rep. Matt Gaetz, was highly controversial and forced to withdraw.”

She Constantly Fought the Biden Administration. Now She’ll Be Florida’s Next Senator. by Kimberly Leonard and Gary Fineout for POLITICO: “When Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis picked Ashley Moody for his state’s Senate seat Thursday, he turned to a rising star in state politics, a harsh critic of President Joe Biden and one of his closest political allies to send to Washington.

Moody, when she replaces the State Department-bound Marco Rubio, will add a notably younger voice to the Senate. Moody, 49, will be one of just a dozen senators under the age of 50 when she takes office and will become Florida’s second-ever female senator. As state attorney general, she has made her name by repeatedly suing the Biden administration, including on illegal immigration, transgender rights, Covid-19 policies and student loan forgiveness.”

Number of the Week

10,000 is the number of women who enlisted in the Army in 2024, an 18 percent increase from the previous year. This increase helped the Army achieve its recruiting goals for the first time in years.

Read more here.

MUST READS

Jennifer Klein speaks during a press briefing at the White House.

Evan Vucci/AP

‘This Work is Not at the Fringe’: What It Was Like to Lead the White House Gender Policy Council by Jennifer Gerson for the 19th: “When President Joe Biden took office, he quickly formed the White House Gender Policy Council. Part of its mission: to ‘protect, improve and expand access to health care, including sexual and reproductive health.’

But just over a year after the council’s formation, the Supreme Court made its mission all but impossible with its ruling in Dobbs v. Jackson Women’s Health Organization, which overturned Roe v. Wade and the constitutional right to abortion. For [Jennifer] Klein, the ruling highlighted both the importance of the work and the limitations of executive power.”

House Passes Bill to Deport Immigrants Convicted of Violence Against Women by Karoun Demirjian for The New York Times: “The House passed a bill on Thursday to mandate deportation and block entry into the United States for immigrants with uncertain status who are convicted of or admit to sex crimes or domestic violence, as a bipartisan majority approved the latest piece of a step-by-step crackdown being imposed by Republicans.

G.O.P. leaders on Capitol Hill have been hammering at the issue of stricter immigration enforcement in the first days of the new Congress as a way to show how they will use their governing trifecta in Washington when President-elect Donald J. Trump takes office on Monday. They are also testing how far they can push Democrats to the right on the issue after their defeats in the 2024 election.”

TikTok’s Mommy Influencer Meltdown by Samantha Chery for The Washington Post: “The fate of TikTok in the United States is in limbo, with a potential ban of the app expected as soon as Sunday, but the appetite for parenting tell-alls long predates the platform. Mom bloggers such as Heather Armstrong and Jill Smokler built huge followings in the 2000s and early 2010s, sharing unvarnished parenting stories on their personal sites.

Some mommy bloggers made content creation their career as the world migrated to image-based social media platforms such as Instagram, posting picturesque family scenes and filling letter boards with inspirational quotes they would find on Pinterest. But more relatable, messier content creators have generally fared better than their glamorous counterparts on TikTok, where parent content exploded at the start of the pandemic.”

Quote of the Week

A quote from Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand to defense secretary nominee Pete Hegseth during his confirmation hearing reads, You will have to change how you see women to do this job well, and I don’t know if you are capable of that.

Read more here.

on the move

Kate Bedingfield is joining Brunswick Group as a partner. She is a former Biden White House communications director and CNN political commentator. (h/t POLITICO Influence)

Alyssa Pettus is joining the House China select committee as communications director. She previously led media and external communications at Leidos and is a Richard Shelby alum. (h/t POLITICO Influence)

Laura Lane is now VP and chief corporate affairs officer at Chevron. She most recently was chief corporate affairs officer at UPS. (h/t POLITICO Playbook)

 

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